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老年人参与骑行违规行为意向的预测因素:一个综合模型。

Predictors of older people's intention to engage in cycling violation behaviour with an integrative model.

机构信息

School of Civil Engineering and Transportation, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou City, China.

College of Civil Aviation, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing, China.

出版信息

Int J Inj Contr Saf Promot. 2023 Dec;30(4):473-483. doi: 10.1080/17457300.2023.2214885. Epub 2023 May 27.

Abstract

In China, bicycles are a popular mode of transportation for senior citizens. A disproportionate number of traffic-related fatalities and injuries involve cyclists. The violation of cycling laws is a significant cause of cyclist crashes. Few studies have analyzed the cycling violation behaviour of seniors. Therefore, it is essential to examine the factors that influence older individuals' intention to engage in cycling violation behaviours. In this study, the effects of social-demographic characteristics, the exogenous constructs in the health belief model (HBM), and the theory of planned behaviour (TPB) on senior cyclists' violation intention were investigated using hierarchical regression analysis. Interviews were conducted with older cyclists in urban areas of Wuhan City, all above 60 years of age. The results showed that very little variance in behavioural intention could be explained by social-demographic factors. The TPB has a significantly greater capacity than the HBM to explain variance in behavioural intention. Perceived susceptibility, perceived benefit, cues to action, subjective norm and attitude significantly impacted behavioural intention, whereas perceived severity, perceived barrier and self-efficacy did not.

摘要

在中国,自行车是老年人常用的一种交通方式。但在涉及交通的死亡和受伤事故中,骑自行车的人所占比例过高。违反交通规则是导致自行车事故的一个重要原因。很少有研究分析老年人的骑车违章行为。因此,研究影响老年人骑车违章行为意图的因素至关重要。本研究采用层次回归分析,探讨了社会人口统计学特征、健康信念模型(HBM)中的外生构念以及计划行为理论(TPB)对老年自行车骑行者违章意图的影响。本研究对武汉市城区 60 岁以上的老年自行车骑行者进行了访谈。结果表明,社会人口统计学因素对行为意图的解释能力非常有限。TPB 比 HBM 更能解释行为意图的差异。感知易感性、感知收益、提示因素、主观规范和态度对行为意图有显著影响,而感知严重性、感知障碍和自我效能感则没有。

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