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检验信息通信技术、交通能源消耗和城市化在亚洲 CO 排放中的作用:阈值分析。

Examining the role of ICT, transportation energy consumption, and urbanization in CO emissions in Asia: a threshold analysis.

机构信息

Department of Economics, National University of Modern Languages (NUML) Islamabad, Islamabad, 44000, Pakistan.

Business School, University of Jinan, Jinan, People's Republic of China.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2023 Jul;30(32):78482-78494. doi: 10.1007/s11356-023-27995-y. Epub 2023 Jun 4.

Abstract

ICT is viewed in earlier research as a double-edged sword that may either help or hurt the environment. Asian nations' ICT penetration has significantly expanded in recent years, and they are eager to bring about a digital revolution by building up their ICT infrastructure while consuming less energy for transportation and urban growth. Therefore, the purpose of this article is to investigate how ICT might reduce CO emissions through the use of transport energy and urban development. Empirical and theoretical debates have been remaining ambiguous and contentious topic of whether energy consumed by the transport sector and urbanization causes CO emanation in Asia, and what role ICT played in determining the level of CO remains unanswered. This study adds to the ongoing discussion for sustainable transportation in ten Asian nations for 30 years that concentrate on the relationship between the energy consumption of transport, urbanization, ICT, and carbon emanation (1990-2020) and checked the validity of EKC. The STIRPAT and panel threshold models having two regimes are used to explore the stochastic impacts of the dependent and explanatory variables. We have divided explanatory into two categories, that is, the threshold variable ICT and the regime-dependent variables urbanization and transport energy consumption. Our results confirm that the EKC hypothesis holds in these Asian economies. Thus, our findings indicate that the environmental quality improves in terms of reduction in CO emissions when ICT passes the threshold level due to the technological advancement in ICT dominating the scale effect induced by ICT. Furthermore, the possible policy recommendations are discussed according to the findings.

摘要

在早期的研究中,信息通信技术被视为一把双刃剑,既可能对环境有益,也可能有害。近年来,亚洲国家的信息通信技术渗透率显著扩大,它们渴望通过建设信息通信技术基础设施来实现数字革命,同时减少交通和城市发展所需的能源消耗。因此,本文的目的是探讨信息通信技术如何通过利用交通能源和城市发展来减少二氧化碳排放。关于交通部门能源消耗和城市化是否会导致亚洲地区二氧化碳排放,以及信息通信技术在确定二氧化碳排放水平方面所起的作用,实证和理论争论一直是一个含糊和有争议的话题。本研究为十个亚洲国家在 30 年内的可持续交通问题的持续讨论做出了贡献,重点关注交通、城市化、信息通信技术和碳排放之间的关系(1990-2020 年),并检验了环境库兹涅茨曲线的有效性。采用具有两个区间的 STIRPAT 和面板门槛模型来探索随机变量的影响。我们将解释变量分为两类,即门槛变量信息通信技术和区间依赖变量城市化和交通能源消耗。我们的结果证实了这些亚洲经济体的环境库兹涅茨曲线假说。因此,我们的研究结果表明,由于信息通信技术在技术进步方面的主导作用超过了信息通信技术带来的规模效应,当信息通信技术通过门槛水平时,环境质量会因二氧化碳排放量的减少而得到改善。此外,还根据研究结果讨论了可能的政策建议。

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