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《因祸得福:高频赌徒用双重反事实思维为继续赌博找借口》。

For Better and For Worse: Frequent Gamblers Use Dual Counterfactuals to Justify Continued Gambling.

机构信息

University of Sydney Business School, Rm 4006, H70, Sydney, NSW, 2006, Australia.

Faculty of Science, University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, 2006, Australia.

出版信息

J Gambl Stud. 2024 Jun;40(2):1-20. doi: 10.1007/s10899-023-10221-2. Epub 2023 Jun 5.

Abstract

How might frequent gamblers convince themselves to keep playing despite persistent losses or after a win that should be savored? The purpose of this research is to examine the unexplored question of how frequent gamblers' use counterfactual thinking to motivate their desire to continue gambling. Using a sample of n = 69 high and n = 69 low frequency gamblers in a field setting, we found that infrequent gamblers tended to consider how the perceived outcome of losing "could have been better" (i.e., upward counterfactual thinking), and how a winning outcome "could have been worse" (i.e., downward counterfactual thinking). This pattern of counterfactual thinking is considered typical in many settings and may, in a gambling context, support a potentially more responsible approach by helping infrequent gamblers to learn from past mistakes to avoid significant future losses and to savor wins to protect returns gained. Alternatively, we found that frequent gamblers were more likely to generate 'dual counterfactuals' which include both upward and downward counterfactuals in response to losses and wins. We argue that this dual pattern of counterfactual thinking may allow frequent gamblers to more easily justify their desire to continue gambling. Findings suggest that challenging gamblers counterfactual thinking patterns could assist clinicians in moderating the potential for high-risk behaviors.

摘要

高频赌徒如何说服自己在持续输钱或赢得一笔本应享受的奖金后继续赌博?本研究旨在探讨一个尚未被研究的问题,即高频赌徒如何利用反事实思维来激发他们继续赌博的欲望。本研究在实地环境中使用了 n = 69 名高频赌徒和 n = 69 名低频赌徒作为样本,结果发现,低频赌徒往往会考虑到输钱的“本可以更好”(即向上的反事实思维),以及赢钱的“本可以更糟”(即向下的反事实思维)。这种反事实思维模式在许多环境中被认为是典型的,在赌博情境下,它可能会帮助低频赌徒从过去的错误中吸取教训,避免未来的重大损失,并珍惜赢钱的机会,以保护获得的回报,从而支持一种更负责任的方法。相反,我们发现高频赌徒在输钱和赢钱时更有可能产生“双重反事实”,即同时包含向上和向下的反事实。我们认为,这种双重的反事实思维模式可能使高频赌徒更容易为他们继续赌博的欲望辩护。研究结果表明,挑战赌徒的反事实思维模式可能有助于临床医生控制高危行为的发生。

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