Combined influence of ENSO and North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) on Eurasian Steppe during 1982-2018.

As the most influential atmospheric oscillation on Earth, the El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) can significantly change the surface climate of the tropics and subtropics and affect the high latitudes of northern hemisphere areas through atmospheric teleconnection. The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is the dominant pattern of low-frequency variability in the Northern Hemisphere. As the dominant oscillations in the Northern Hemisphere, the ENSO and NAO have been affecting the giant grassland belt in the world, the Eurasian Steppe (EAS), in recent decades. In this study, the spatio-temporal anomaly patterns of grassland growth in the EAS and their correlations with the ENSO and NAO were investigated using four long-term leaf area index (LAI) and one normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) remote sensing products from 1982 to 2018. The driving forces of meteorological factors under the ENSO and NAO were analyzed. The results showed that grassland in the EAS has been turning green over the past 36 years. Warm ENSO events or positive NAO events accompanied by increased temperature and slightly more precipitation promoted grassland growth, and cold ENSO events or negative NAO events with cooling effects over the whole EAS and uneven precipitation decreased deteriorated the EAS grassland. During the combination of warm ENSO and positive NAO events, a more severe warming effect caused more significant grassland greening. Moreover, the co-occurrence of positive NAO with cold ENSO or warm ENSO with negative NAO kept the characteristic of the decreased temperature and rainfall in cold ENSO or negative NAO events, and deteriorate the grassland more severely.