School of Geography and Tourism, Qufu Normal University, Rizhao, 276826, China.
Rizhao Key Laboratory of Territory Spatial Planning and Ecological Construction, Rizhao, 276826, China.
Environ Monit Assess. 2023 Jun 9;195(7):830. doi: 10.1007/s10661-023-11416-1.
Reasonable regulation of the total amount and layout of land resources is the significant cornerstone for releasing the potential of land resources. This study explored the spatial layout and evolution characteristics of the Nansi Lake Basin from the perspective of land use and simulated the spatial distribution pattern under multiple scenarios in 2035 with the Future Land Use Simulation model which more effectively reflected the process of land use change in the actual situation, revealing the land use change of the Nansi Lake Basin under the influence of different human activities. Analysis indicated that the simulation results obtained using the Future Land Use Simulation model strongly agree with reality. By 2035, the magnitude and spatial distribution of land use landscapes will change significantly under three scenarios. The findings provide a reference for the adjustment of land use planning in the Nansi Lake Basin.
合理调控土地资源总量和布局是释放土地资源潜力的重要基石。本研究从土地利用的角度探讨了南四湖流域的空间布局和演变特征，并利用未来土地利用模拟模型模拟了 2035 年多种情景下的空间分布格局，该模型更有效地反映了实际情况下土地利用变化的过程，揭示了不同人类活动影响下南四湖流域的土地利用变化。分析表明，未来土地利用模拟模型得到的模拟结果与实际情况吻合度较高。到 2035 年，在三种情景下，土地利用景观的规模和空间分布将发生显著变化。研究结果为南四湖流域土地利用规划的调整提供了参考。
