[Risk factors for progression to severe pneumonia in children visiting the emergency department with pneumonia].

OBJECTIVE

To determine the risk factors for developing severe pneumonia in children under 5 years old with pneumonia.

METHODS

A case-control study was conducted 246 children with pneumonia between 2 and 59 months old who were admitted to the department of emergency of the Children's Hospital of Nanjing Medical University from May 2019 to May 2021 were enrolled. The children with pneumonia were screened according to the diagnostic criteria of the World Health Organization (WHO). Case information of the children was reviewed to obtain relevant socio-demographic, nutritional status and potential risk factors. The independent risk factors for severe pneumonia were analyzed by univariate analysis and multivariate Logistic regression respectively.

RESULTS

Among the 246 patients with pneumonia, 125 were male and 121 were female. The average age was (21.0±2.9) months, 184 children with severe pneumonia. The results of population epidemiological characteristics showed that there were no significant differences in gender, age and place of residence between the severe pneumonia group and the pneumonia group. Prematurity, low birth weight, congenital malformation, anemia, length of intensive care unit (ICU) stay, nutritional support, treatment delay, malnutrition, invasive treatment, history of respiratory infection were all related factors affecting the occurrence of severe pneumonia (severe pneumonia group vs. pneumonia group: the proportion of premature infants was 9.52% vs. 1.23%, low birth weight was 19.05% vs. 6.79%, congenital malformation was 22.62% vs. 9.26%, anemia was 27.38% vs. 16.05%, length of ICU stay < 48 hours was 63.10% vs. 38.89%, enteral nutritional support was 34.52% vs. 20.99%, treatment delay was 42.86% vs. 29.63%, malnutrition was 27.38% vs. 8.64%, invasive treatment was 9.52% vs. 1.85%, respiratory tract infection history was 67.86% vs. 40.74%, all P > 0.05). However, breastfeeding, type of infection, nebulization, use of hormones, use of antibiotics, etc. were not risk factors affecting severe pneumonia. Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that history of premature birth, low birth weight, congenital malformation, treatment delay, malnutrition, invasive treatment, and history of respiratory infection were independent risk factors for severe pneumonia [history of premature birth: odds ratio (OR) = 2.346, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 1.452-3.785; low birth weight: OR = 15.784, 95%CI was 5.201-47.946; congenital malformation: OR = 7.135, 95%CI was 1.519-33.681; treatment delay: OR = 11.541, 95%CI was 2.734-48.742; malnutrition: OR = 14.453, 95%CI was 4.264-49.018; invasive treatment: OR = 6.373, 95%CI was 1.542-26.343; history of respiratory infection: OR = 5.512, 95%CI was 1.891-16.101, all P < 0.05].

CONCLUSIONS

Premature birth history, low birth weight, congenital malformation, delayed treatment, malnutrition, invasive treatment, and history of respiratory infection are independent risk factors for severe pneumonia in children under 5 years old.