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低 T3 综合征与暴发性心肌炎成年患者的 30 天死亡率相关。

Low T3 syndrome is associated with 30-day mortality in adult patients with fulminant myocarditis.

机构信息

Department of Cardiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, China.

出版信息

Front Endocrinol (Lausanne). 2023 May 31;14:1164444. doi: 10.3389/fendo.2023.1164444. eCollection 2023.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Fulminant myocarditis (FM) is a critical disease with high early mortality. Low triiodothyronine syndrome (LT3S) was a strong predictor of poor prognosis of critical diseases. This study investigated whether LT3S was associated with 30-day mortality in FM patients.

METHODS

Ninety-six FM patients were divided into LT3S (n=39, 40%) and normal free triiodothyronine (FT3) (n=57, 60%) groups based on serum FT3 level. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed to identify independent predictors of 30-day mortality. Kaplan-Meier curve was used to compare 30-day mortality between two groups. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to assess the value of FT3 level for 30-day mortality prediction.

RESULTS

Compared to normal FT3 group, LT3S group had higher incidence of ventricular arrhythmias, worse hemodynamics, worse cardiac function, more severe kidney impairment, and higher 30-day mortality (48.7% vs. 12.3%, P<0.001). In univariable analysis, LT3S (odds ratio [OR]:6.786, 95% confidence interval [CI]:2.472-18.629, P<0.001) and serum FT3 (OR:0.272, 95%CI:0.139-0.532, P<0.001) were significant strong predictors of 30-day mortality. After adjustment for confounders in multivariable analysis, LT3S (OR:3.409, 95%CI:1.019-11.413, P=0.047) and serum FT3 (OR:0.408, 95%CI:0.199-0.837, P=0.014) remained independent 30-day mortality predictors. The area under the ROC curve of FT3 level was 0.774 (cut-off: 3.58, sensitivity: 88.46%, specificity: 62.86%). In DCA, FT3 level showed good clinical-application value for 30-day mortality prediction.

CONCLUSION

In FM patients, LT3S could independently predict 30-day mortality. FT3 level was a strong 30-day mortality predictor and a potentially useful risk-stratification biomarker.

摘要

背景

暴发性心肌炎(FM)是一种具有高早期死亡率的危急疾病。低三碘甲状腺原氨酸综合征(LT3S)是预测危急疾病预后不良的一个强有力指标。本研究旨在探讨 LT3S 是否与 FM 患者的 30 天死亡率相关。

方法

96 例 FM 患者根据血清 FT3 水平分为 LT3S 组(n=39,40%)和正常游离三碘甲状腺原氨酸(FT3)组(n=57,60%)。采用单变量和多变量逻辑回归分析确定 30 天死亡率的独立预测因素。Kaplan-Meier 曲线用于比较两组 30 天死亡率。接受者操作特征(ROC)曲线和决策曲线分析(DCA)用于评估 FT3 水平对 30 天死亡率预测的价值。

结果

与正常 FT3 组相比,LT3S 组心律失常发生率更高,血流动力学更差,心功能更差,肾功能更严重,30 天死亡率更高(48.7%比 12.3%,P<0.001)。单变量分析中,LT3S(比值比[OR]:6.786,95%置信区间[CI]:2.472-18.629,P<0.001)和血清 FT3(OR:0.272,95%CI:0.139-0.532,P<0.001)是 30 天死亡率的显著强预测因素。多变量分析调整混杂因素后,LT3S(OR:3.409,95%CI:1.019-11.413,P=0.047)和血清 FT3(OR:0.408,95%CI:0.199-0.837,P=0.014)仍为独立的 30 天死亡率预测因素。FT3 水平的 ROC 曲线下面积为 0.774(截断值:3.58,敏感度:88.46%,特异度:62.86%)。在 DCA 中,FT3 水平对 30 天死亡率预测具有良好的临床应用价值。

结论

在 FM 患者中,LT3S 可独立预测 30 天死亡率。FT3 水平是 30 天死亡率的强有力预测指标,也是一种有潜在应用价值的风险分层生物标志物。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9f39/10264897/250ceed0430c/fendo-14-1164444-g001.jpg

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