Cape Heart Institute and Department of Medicine, Faculty of Health Science, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, 792, South Africa.
Department of Medicine and Centre for Infectious Diseases, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Stellenbosch University, Cape Town, South Africa.
Sci Rep. 2023 Jun 16;13(1):9790. doi: 10.1038/s41598-023-36375-y.
In sub-Saharan Africa, little is known about pulmonary hypertension in left heart disease (PH-LHD). We used multivariate logistic and cox-hazard proportional regression models to examine factors associated with increased right ventricular systolic pressure (RVSP) and the effect of real-world HIV status scenarios on 6-month survival rate in the Pan African Pulmonary Hypertension Cohort (PAPUCO) study, a prospective cohort from four African countries. Exposure to biomass fuel smoke (aOR, 95%CI 3.07, 1.02-9.28), moderate to severe NYHA/FC III/IV (aOR, 95%CI 4.18, 1.01-17.38), and unknown HIV status (aOR, 95%CI 2.73, 0.96-7.73) predicted moderate to severe RVSP at the time of presentation. Six months later, HIV infection, moderate-to-severe NYHA/FC, and alcohol consumption were associated with decreased survival probabilities. Upon adjusting for HIV infection, it was observed that an incremental rise in RVSP (1 mmHg) and inter-ventricular septal thickness (1 mm) resulted in an 8% (aHR, 95%CI 1.08, 1.02-1.13) and 20% (aHR, 95%CI 1.2, 1.00-1.43) increase in the probability of mortality due to PH-LHD. In contrast, the risk of death from PH-LHD was reduced by 23% for each additional unit of BMI. (aHR, 95%CI 0.77, 0.59-1.00). In conclusion, the present study offers insights into the determinants that are notably linked to unfavorable survival outcomes in patients with pulmonary hypertension due to left heart disease. Certain factors identified in this study are readily evaluable and amenable to modification, even in settings with limited resources.
在撒哈拉以南非洲地区,人们对左心疾病相关肺动脉高压(PH-LHD)知之甚少。我们采用多变量逻辑和 Cox 风险比例回归模型,来研究与右心室收缩压(RVSP)升高相关的因素,以及在非洲四个国家开展的前瞻性队列研究——泛非肺动脉高压队列(PAPUCO)中,真实世界的 HIV 状况对 6 个月生存率的影响。接触生物质燃料烟雾(优势比,95%置信区间 3.07,1.02-9.28)、中重度纽约心脏病协会心功能分级(NYHA/FC)/心功能分级(FC)III/IV(优势比,95%置信区间 4.18,1.01-17.38)和未知 HIV 状况(优势比,95%置信区间 2.73,0.96-7.73)是在就诊时预测中重度 RVSP 的因素。6 个月后,HIV 感染、中重度 NYHA/FC 和饮酒与生存率下降相关。在调整了 HIV 感染因素后,观察到 RVSP(1mmHg)和室间隔厚度(1mm)的递增分别导致 PH-LHD 死亡率概率增加 8%(风险比,95%置信区间 1.08,1.02-1.13)和 20%(风险比,95%置信区间 1.2,1.00-1.43)。相反,每增加一个单位的 BMI,PH-LHD 导致的死亡风险降低 23%(风险比,95%置信区间 0.77,0.59-1.00)。总之,本研究揭示了与左心疾病相关肺动脉高压患者预后不良显著相关的决定因素。本研究中确定的某些因素是可以评估的,且即使在资源有限的环境中也可以进行干预。