Putra Rendra A A, Ovsiannikov Kostiantyn, Kotani Koji
Statistics Indonesia, Indonesia.
General Research Center, Shohoku College, Japan.
J Asian Econ. 2023 Aug;87:101631. doi: 10.1016/j.asieco.2023.101631. Epub 2023 May 30.
COVID-19 pandemic has substantially altered socioeconomic conditions around the world. While numerous existing studies analyze the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic among developed states, little is known about its effects on people's lives and social discrepancies in emerging economies. To this end, we empirically analyze the 2020 Indonesian Labor Force Survey data, hypothesizing that COVID-19 has given idiosyncratic risks and impacts on people by gender, age, education, occupation and regions. We find that income loss and job loss are prominent among males, younger and less educated people as well as among self-employed and part-time non-agricultural workers. These tendencies are not pronounced for people enjoying high income and mobility, but tend to be evident for urban residents and those having dependents. Notably, self-employed people have the highest risk of losing income, while part-time urban workers face the highest probability of losing their jobs. The propensity score matching method also demonstrates that these losses are most evident for the regions susceptible to COVID-19. Overall, we suggest that socioeconomically disadvantaged groups require additional support to strengthen their resilience in the face of exogenous shocks, such as the one caused by the global coronavirus pandemic.
新冠疫情极大地改变了全球的社会经济状况。虽然众多现有研究分析了新冠疫情在发达国家的影响,但对于其对新兴经济体中人们生活及社会差异的影响却知之甚少。为此,我们对2020年印度尼西亚劳动力调查数据进行实证分析,假设新冠疫情给不同性别、年龄、教育程度、职业和地区的人们带来了特殊风险和影响。我们发现,男性、年轻人、受教育程度较低者以及个体经营者和非农业兼职工人当中,收入损失和失业情况较为突出。对于高收入和高流动性人群而言,这些趋势并不明显,但对城市居民和有家属的人来说往往较为明显。值得注意的是,个体经营者失去收入的风险最高,而城市兼职工人失去工作的可能性最大。倾向得分匹配法还表明,这些损失在易受新冠疫情影响的地区最为明显。总体而言,我们建议社会经济弱势群体需要额外支持,以增强他们面对外部冲击(如全球新冠疫情造成的冲击)时的恢复力。