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我(不)应该让谁来帮我买彩票?感知到的积极和消极能动性、交流和运气对代理控制错觉的影响。

Who Do I (Not) Ask to Play my Lottery? Effects of Perceived Positive and Negative Agency, Communion and Luck on the Illusion of Control by Proxy.

机构信息

Institute of Applied Psychology, Faculty of Management and Social Communication, Jagiellonian University, ul. Łojasiewicza 4, Krakow, 30-348, Poland.

出版信息

J Gambl Stud. 2024 Jun;40(2):453-473. doi: 10.1007/s10899-023-10228-9. Epub 2023 Jun 20.

DOI:10.1007/s10899-023-10228-9
PMID:37338740
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11272699/
Abstract

The paper investigates the illusion of control by proxy in games of chance - an attempt to exert control by assigning it to others who are perceived as more capable, communable or luckier. Following up on research by Wohl & Enzle, who showed participants' preference to ask lucky others to play a lottery instead of doing it themselves, we included proxies with positive and negative qualities in the domains of agency and communion, as well good and bad luck. In three experiments (total N = 249) we tested participants' choices between these proxies and a random number generator in a task consisting of obtaining lottery numbers. We obtained consistent preventative illusions of control (i.e. avoidance of proxies with strictly negative qualities, as well as proxies with positive communion but negative agency), however we observed indifference between proxies with positive qualities and random number generators.

摘要

本文研究了机会游戏中的代理控制错觉——即试图通过将控制分配给被认为更有能力、更善于交流或更幸运的他人来施加控制。继 Wohl 和 Enzle 的研究之后,我们让参与者选择让幸运的他人代替自己买彩票,而不是自己亲自去买,我们在代理的能力和交流领域中包含了具有积极和消极品质的代理,以及好运和坏运。在三个实验中(总 N=249),我们在一个由获得彩票号码组成的任务中测试了参与者在这些代理和随机数生成器之间的选择。我们得到了一致的预防控制错觉(即避免具有严格负面品质的代理,以及具有积极交流但负面能力的代理),然而我们观察到具有积极品质的代理和随机数生成器之间的无差异。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b719/11272699/059ab1bc25af/10899_2023_10228_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b719/11272699/112cd3d40c6d/10899_2023_10228_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b719/11272699/f8801a906444/10899_2023_10228_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b719/11272699/059ab1bc25af/10899_2023_10228_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b719/11272699/112cd3d40c6d/10899_2023_10228_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b719/11272699/f8801a906444/10899_2023_10228_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b719/11272699/059ab1bc25af/10899_2023_10228_Fig3_HTML.jpg

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Alternatives to P value: confidence interval and effect size.P值的替代方法:置信区间和效应量。
Korean J Anesthesiol. 2016 Dec;69(6):555-562. doi: 10.4097/kjae.2016.69.6.555. Epub 2016 Oct 25.
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Erroneous gambling-related beliefs as illusions of primary and secondary control: a confirmatory factor analysis.作为初级和次级控制错觉的错误赌博相关信念:验证性因素分析
J Gambl Stud. 2015 Mar;31(1):133-60. doi: 10.1007/s10899-013-9402-9.
4
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Br J Soc Psychol. 2009 Mar;48(Pt 1):183-200. doi: 10.1348/014466607X258696. Epub 2007 Nov 22.
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Agency and communion from the perspective of self versus others.从自我与他人的角度看能动性与交融性。
J Pers Soc Psychol. 2007 Nov;93(5):751-63. doi: 10.1037/0022-3514.93.5.751.
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Pers Soc Psychol Bull. 2006 Dec;32(12):1646-58. doi: 10.1177/0146167206292236.
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The Gambling Related Cognitions Scale (GRCS): development, confirmatory factor validation and psychometric properties.赌博相关认知量表(GRCS):编制、验证性因素分析及心理测量学特性
Addiction. 2004 Jun;99(6):757-69. doi: 10.1111/j.1360-0443.2004.00753.x.
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Differences in cognitive distortions between problem and social gamblers.问题赌徒与社交赌徒在认知扭曲方面的差异。
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