The First Clinical Medical College, School of Nursing, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China.
School of Nursing, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China.
Int Wound J. 2023 Dec;20(10):4328-4339. doi: 10.1111/iwj.14280. Epub 2023 Jun 20.
Despite the fact that machine learning (ML) algorithms to construct predictive models for pressure injury development are widely reported, the performance of the model remains unknown. The goal of the review was to systematically appraise the performance of ML models in predicting pressure injury. PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, Web of Science, CINAHL, Grey literature and other databases were systematically searched. Original journal papers were included which met the inclusion criteria. The methodological quality was assessed independently by two reviewers using the Prediction Model Risk of Bias Assessment Tool (PROBAST). Meta-analysis was performed with Metadisc software, with the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, sensitivity and specificity as effect measures. Chi-squared and I tests were used to assess the heterogeneity. A total of 18 studies were included for the narrative review, and 14 of them were eligible for meta-analysis. The models achieved excellent pooled AUC of 0.94, sensitivity of 0.79 (95% CI [0.78-0.80]) and specificity of 0.87 (95% CI [0.88-0.87]). Meta-regressions did not provide evidence that model performance varied by data or model types. The present findings indicate that ML models show an outstanding performance in predicting pressure injury. However, good-quality studies should be conducted to verify our results and confirm the clinical value of ML in pressure injury development.
尽管机器学习 (ML) 算法被广泛用于构建压力性损伤发展的预测模型,但模型的性能仍不清楚。本综述的目的是系统地评估 ML 模型在预测压力性损伤方面的性能。系统地检索了 PubMed、Embase、Cochrane 图书馆、Web of Science、CINAHL、灰色文献和其他数据库。纳入符合纳入标准的原始期刊论文。两名评审员独立使用预测模型风险偏倚评估工具 (PROBAST) 评估方法学质量。使用 MetaDisc 软件进行荟萃分析,以接收者操作特征曲线下的面积、敏感性和特异性作为效应测量。卡方和 I 检验用于评估异质性。共纳入 18 项研究进行叙述性综述,其中 14 项符合荟萃分析条件。这些模型的汇总 AUC 达到了 0.94,敏感性为 0.79(95%CI [0.78-0.80]),特异性为 0.87(95%CI [0.88-0.87])。元回归没有提供证据表明模型性能因数据或模型类型而异。本研究结果表明,ML 模型在预测压力性损伤方面表现出出色的性能。然而,应该进行高质量的研究来验证我们的结果,并确认 ML 在压力性损伤发展中的临床价值。