Ding Yihui, Liu Yunyun, Hu Zeng-Zhen
National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, 100081 China.
Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing, 210044 China.
Adv Atmos Sci. 2021;38(12):1980-1993. doi: 10.1007/s00376-021-0361-2. Epub 2021 Apr 6.
The record-breaking mei-yu in the Yangtze-Huaihe River valley (YHRV) in 2020 was characterized by an early onset, a delayed retreat, a long duration, a wide meridional rainbelt, abundant precipitation, and frequent heavy rainstorm processes. It is noted that the East Asian monsoon circulation system presented a significant quasi-biweekly oscillation (QBWO) during the mei-yu season of 2020 that was associated with the onset and retreat of mei-yu, a northward shift and stagnation of the rainbelt, and the occurrence and persistence of heavy rainstorm processes. Correspondingly, during the mei-yu season, the monsoon circulation subsystems, including the western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH), the upper-level East Asian westerly jet, and the low-level southwesterly jet, experienced periodic oscillations linked with the QBWO. Most notably, the repeated establishment of a large southerly center, with relatively stable latitude, led to moisture convergence and ascent which was observed to develop repeatedly. This was accompanied by a long-term duration of the mei-yu rainfall in the YHRV and frequent occurrences of rainstorm processes. Moreover, two blocking highs were present in the middle to high latitudes over Eurasia, and a trough along the East Asian coast was also active, which allowed cold air intrusions to move southward through the northwestern and/or northeastern paths. The cold air frequently merged with the warm and moist air from the low latitudes resulting in low-level convergence over the YHRV. The persistent warming in the tropical Indian Ocean is found to be an important external contributor to an EAP/PJ-like teleconnection pattern over East Asia along with an intensified and southerly displaced WPSH, which was observed to be favorable for excessive rainfall over YHRV.
2020年长江淮河流域(YHRV)破纪录的梅雨具有开始早、结束晚、持续时间长、雨带南北跨度大、降水量丰富以及暴雨过程频繁等特点。值得注意的是,东亚季风环流系统在2020年梅雨季节呈现出显著的准双周振荡(QBWO),这与梅雨的开始和结束、雨带的北移和停滞以及暴雨过程的发生和持续有关。相应地,在梅雨季节,包括西太平洋副热带高压(WPSH)、东亚高空西风急流和低空西南风急流在内的季风环流子系统经历了与QBWO相关的周期性振荡。最显著的是,一个纬度相对稳定的大型南风中心反复建立,导致水汽辐合和上升,且这种情况反复出现。这伴随着YHRV地区梅雨降雨的长期持续和暴雨过程的频繁发生。此外,欧亚大陆中高纬度地区出现了两个阻塞高压,东亚沿岸的一个槽也很活跃,使得冷空气能够通过西北和/或东北路径向南侵入。冷空气经常与来自低纬度地区的暖湿空气合并,导致YHRV地区低空辐合。热带印度洋的持续变暖被发现是东亚类似EAP/PJ遥相关型的一个重要外部因素,同时WPSH增强并向南偏移,这有利于YHRV地区出现过多降雨。