Ahmed Abdullah, Garcia-Agundez Augusto, Petrovic Ivana, Radaei Fatemeh, Fife James, Zhou John, Karas Hunter, Moody Scott, Drake Jonathan, Jones Richard N, Eickhoff Carsten, Reznik Michael E
Brown Center for Biomedical Informatics, Brown University, Providence, RI, United States.
IMDEA Networks Institute, Madrid, Spain.
Front Neurol. 2023 Jun 9;14:1135472. doi: 10.3389/fneur.2023.1135472. eCollection 2023.
Delirium is associated with worse outcomes in patients with stroke and neurocritical illness, but delirium detection in these patients can be challenging with existing screening tools. To address this gap, we aimed to develop and evaluate machine learning models that detect episodes of post-stroke delirium based on data from wearable activity monitors in conjunction with stroke-related clinical features.
Prospective observational cohort study.
Neurocritical Care and Stroke Units at an academic medical center.
We recruited 39 patients with moderate-to-severe acute intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) and hemiparesis over a 1-year period [mean (SD) age 71.3 (12.20), 54% male, median (IQR) initial NIH Stroke Scale 14.5 (6), median (IQR) ICH score 2 (1)].
Each patient received daily assessments for delirium by an attending neurologist, while activity data were recorded throughout each patient's hospitalization using wrist-worn actigraph devices (on both paretic and non-paretic arms). We compared the predictive accuracy of Random Forest, SVM and XGBoost machine learning methods in classifying daily delirium status using clinical information alone and combined with actigraph data. Among our study cohort, 85% of patients ( = 33) had at least one delirium episode, while 71% of monitoring days ( = 209) were rated as days with delirium. Clinical information alone had a low accuracy in detecting delirium on a day-to-day basis [accuracy mean (SD) 62% (18%), F1 score mean (SD) 50% (17%)]. Prediction performance improved significantly ( < 0.001) with the addition of actigraph data [accuracy mean (SD) 74% (10%), F1 score 65% (10%)]. Among actigraphy features, night-time actigraph data were especially relevant for classification accuracy.
We found that actigraphy in conjunction with machine learning models improves clinical detection of delirium in patients with stroke, thus paving the way to make actigraph-assisted predictions clinically actionable.
谵妄与中风和神经危重症患者的不良预后相关,但使用现有筛查工具对这些患者进行谵妄检测具有挑战性。为了弥补这一差距,我们旨在开发和评估机器学习模型,该模型基于可穿戴活动监测器的数据并结合中风相关临床特征来检测中风后谵妄发作。
前瞻性观察性队列研究。
一所学术医疗中心的神经重症监护病房和中风单元。
我们在1年的时间里招募了39例中度至重度急性脑出血(ICH)和偏瘫患者[平均(标准差)年龄71.3(12.20)岁,54%为男性,初始美国国立卫生研究院卒中量表中位数(四分位间距)14.5(6),ICH评分中位数(四分位间距)2(1)]。
每位患者由主治神经科医生进行每日谵妄评估,同时在每位患者住院期间使用腕部佩戴的活动记录仪设备(在患侧和非患侧手臂上)记录活动数据。我们比较了随机森林、支持向量机和极端梯度提升机器学习方法在仅使用临床信息以及结合活动记录仪数据对每日谵妄状态进行分类时的预测准确性。在我们的研究队列中,85%的患者(n = 33)至少有一次谵妄发作,而71%的监测日(n = 209)被评定为谵妄日。仅临床信息在每日检测谵妄方面的准确性较低[准确性平均值(标准差)62%(18%),F1分数平均值(标准差)50%(17%)]。加入活动记录仪数据后,预测性能显著提高(P < 0.001)[准确性平均值(标准差)74%(10%),F1分数65%(10%)]。在活动记录仪特征中,夜间活动记录仪数据与分类准确性尤其相关。
我们发现活动记录仪结合机器学习模型可提高中风患者谵妄的临床检测能力,从而为使活动记录仪辅助预测在临床上具有可操作性铺平道路。