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通过宫颈内口应变率分析预测早产:一项前瞻性研究。

Predicting Preterm Birth with Strain Ratio Analysis of the Internal Cervical Os: A Prospective Study.

作者信息

Luca Alina-Madalina, Haba Raluca, Cobzeanu Luiza-Maria, Nemescu Dragos, Harabor Anamaria, Mogos Raluca, Adam Ana-Maria, Harabor Valeriu, Nechita Aurel, Adam Gigi, Carauleanu Alexandru, Scripcariu Sadiye-Ioana, Vasilache Ingrid-Andrada, Gisca Tudor, Socolov Demetra

机构信息

Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, 'Grigore T. Popa' University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 700115 Iasi, Romania.

Surgical Department, Faculty of Medicine, University of Medicine and Pharmacy "Grigore T. Popa", 700115 Iasi, Romania.

出版信息

J Clin Med. 2023 Jun 7;12(12):3885. doi: 10.3390/jcm12123885.

Abstract

(1) Background: Cervical elastography is a new concept that could allow clinicians to assess cervical consistency in various clinical scenarios. We aimed to evaluate the predictive performance of the strain ratio (SR) at the level of the internal os, either individually or in combination with other parameters, in the prediction of spontaneous preterm birth (PTB) at various gestational ages. (2) Methods: This prospective study included 114 pregnant patients with a high-risk profile for PTB who underwent cervical elastography during the second trimester. Clinical and paraclinical data were assessed using univariate analysis, logistic regression, and sensitivity analysis. (3) Results: The SR achieved an area under the receiver operating curve (AUROC) value of 0.850, a sensitivity of 85.71%, and a specificity of 84.31% in the prediction of PTB before 37 weeks of gestation. The combined model showed superior results in terms of accuracy (AUROC = 0.938), sensitivity (92.31%), and specificity (95.16%). When considering PTB subtypes, the highest AUROC value (0.80) and accuracy (95.61%) of this marker were achieved in the prediction of extremely preterm birth, before 28 weeks of gestation. (4) Conclusions: The SR achieved an overall good predictive performance in the prediction of PTB and could be further evaluated in various cohorts of patients.

摘要

(1) 背景:宫颈弹性成像术是一个新概念,它能让临床医生在各种临床情况下评估宫颈的硬度。我们旨在评估内口水平的应变率(SR)单独或与其他参数联合在预测不同孕周的自发性早产(PTB)中的预测性能。(2) 方法:这项前瞻性研究纳入了114例有早产高危因素的孕妇,她们在孕中期接受了宫颈弹性成像检查。使用单因素分析、逻辑回归和敏感性分析评估临床和辅助检查数据。(3) 结果:在预测妊娠37周前的早产时,SR的受试者操作特征曲线下面积(AUROC)值为0.850,敏感性为85.71%,特异性为84.31%。联合模型在准确性(AUROC = 0.938)、敏感性(92.31%)和特异性(95.16%)方面显示出更好的结果。在考虑早产亚型时,该标志物在预测妊娠28周前的极早早产时达到最高的AUROC值(0.80)和准确性(95.61%)。(4) 结论:SR在早产预测中总体具有良好的预测性能,可在不同患者队列中进一步评估。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/4176/10299182/d3372313eb19/jcm-12-03885-g001.jpg

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