Geospatial Science and Human Security Division, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, 37831-6017 Oak Ridge, TN USA.
Social Science Research Center, Mississippi State University, 39762, Starkville, MS, USA.
J Public Health (Oxf). 2023 Nov 29;45(4):799-803. doi: 10.1093/pubmed/fdad089.
Cardiovascular and cancer mortality are the two leading causes of death in the developed world including the USA. However, mortality trends for these diseases are highly dynamic, and the geographic landscape is in transition. We analyze patterns of mortality improvement at county level during recent decades focusing on mortality decline and geographic diversity.
We grouped age-adjusted mortality rates of cardiovascular and cancer diseases from CDC WONDER for 2959 US counties into 3-year time periods to improve reliability. We calculated percent mortality decrease between 1981-83 and 2016-19 for both causes to quantify mortality improvements for counties.
Using standard deviation as an index of disparities, place-based cancer mortalities were 68% larger than cardiovascular disparities. Significantly, 566 US counties had same or higher rates of cancer mortality in 2019 as in 1981. The geographic distribution of mortality improvement in either cause tends to favor largely populated areas along coasts. Less-populated, rural places in the interior and southeastern regions were experiencing less improvement.
At the county level, large place-based disparities exist for both causes of death with the magnitude of disparities being substantially larger for the reduction in cancer deaths. Put differently, place matters, more for cancer than cardiovascular mortality.
心血管疾病和癌症死亡是发达国家(包括美国)的两大主要死亡原因。然而,这些疾病的死亡率趋势变化非常迅速,地理分布也在发生转变。我们分析了最近几十年县级死亡率改善的模式,重点关注死亡率下降和地理多样性。
我们将疾病预防控制中心 Wonder 数据库中 2959 个美国县的心血管疾病和癌症的年龄调整死亡率按 3 年时间段分组,以提高可靠性。我们计算了 1981-83 年和 2016-19 年之间两种病因的死亡率下降百分比,以量化县死亡率的改善。
用标准差作为差异的指标,基于地点的癌症死亡率比心血管疾病差异大 68%。值得注意的是,2019 年有 566 个美国县的癌症死亡率与 1981 年相同或更高。这两种病因的死亡率改善的地理分布趋势有利于沿海地区人口较多的地区。内陆和东南部人口较少的农村地区的改善较少。
在县级层面,两种死因的死亡率存在很大的基于地点的差异,癌症死亡率下降的差异幅度要大得多。换句话说,与心血管疾病死亡率相比,地点对癌症死亡率的影响更大。