Byaro Mwoya, Dimoso Provident, Rwezaula Anicet
Institute of Rural Development Planning, Dodoma, Tanzania.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2024 Dec;31(60):67171-67186. doi: 10.1007/s11356-023-28438-4. Epub 2023 Jul 7.
The average population in sub-Saharan Africa that has access to clean fuel for cooking and technology is 23.6%. This study examines the panel data for 29 sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries for the period 2000-2018 to estimate impacts of clean energy technologies on environmental sustainability measured by load capacity factor (LCF) to capture both nature's supply and man's demand for the environment. The study used generalized quantile regression, which is more robust to outliers and eliminates the endogeneity of variables in the model using lagged instruments. Results show that clean energy technologies (clean fuels for cooking and renewable energy) have positive and statistically significant impacts on environmental sustainability in SSA for almost all quantiles. For robustness checks, we used Bayesian panel regression estimates and the results remained unchanged. The overall results suggest that clean energy technologies improve environmental sustainability in SSA. The result shows a U-shaped relationship between environmental quality and income and confirms the Load Capacity Curve (LCC) hypothesis in SSA, which implies that income first worsens environmental sustainability and then, after exceeding certain quantiles, improves environmental sustainability. On the other hand, the results also confirm the environmental Kuznet curve (EKC) hypothesis in SSA. The findings show the importance of using clean fuels for cooking, trade, and renewable energy consumption in improving environmental sustainability in the region. The policy implication is that governments in SSA should reduce the cost of energy services (i.e., renewable energy and clean fuels for cooking) to achieve greater environmental sustainability in the region.
撒哈拉以南非洲地区能够获取用于烹饪的清洁燃料和相关技术的人口平均比例为23.6%。本研究考察了2000年至2018年期间29个撒哈拉以南非洲(SSA)国家的面板数据,以估计清洁能源技术对环境可持续性的影响,这种影响通过负荷容量因子(LCF)来衡量,以兼顾自然对环境的供给和人类对环境的需求。该研究使用了广义分位数回归,这种方法对异常值更具稳健性,并通过滞后工具消除了模型中变量的内生性。结果表明,清洁能源技术(用于烹饪的清洁燃料和可再生能源)几乎对SSA地区所有分位数的环境可持续性都有积极且在统计上显著的影响。为进行稳健性检验,我们使用了贝叶斯面板回归估计,结果保持不变。总体结果表明,清洁能源技术改善了SSA地区的环境可持续性。结果显示环境质量与收入之间呈U形关系,并证实了SSA地区的负荷容量曲线(LCC)假说,这意味着收入首先会恶化环境可持续性,然后在超过特定分位数后,会改善环境可持续性。另一方面,结果也证实了SSA地区的环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)假说。研究结果表明了在该地区使用用于烹饪的清洁燃料、贸易和可再生能源消费对改善环境可持续性的重要性。政策含义是,SSA地区各国政府应降低能源服务成本(即可再生能源和用于烹饪的清洁燃料),以在该地区实现更大的环境可持续性。