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利用气象参数和机器学习算法进行沿海水质建模。

Coastal Water Quality Modelling Using , Meteorological Parameters and Machine Learning Algorithms.

机构信息

Laboratory of Hygiene and Environmental Protection, Medical School, Democritus University of Thrace, 68100 Alexandroupoli, Greece.

Department of Civil Engineering, Democritus University of Thrace, 69100 Komotini, Greece.

出版信息

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2023 Jun 24;20(13):6216. doi: 10.3390/ijerph20136216.

Abstract

In this study, machine learning models were implemented to predict the classification of coastal waters in the region of Eastern Macedonia and Thrace (EMT) concerning () concentration and weather variables in the framework of the Directive 2006/7/EC. Six sampling stations of EMT, located on beaches of the regional units of Kavala, Xanthi, Rhodopi, Evros, Thasos and Samothraki, were selected. All 1039 samples were collected from May to September within a 14-year follow-up period (2009-2021). The weather parameters were acquired from nearby meteorological stations. The samples were analysed according to the ISO 9308-1 for the detection and the enumeration of . The vast majority of the samples fall into category 1 (Excellent), which is a mark of the high quality of the coastal waters of EMT. The experimental results disclose, additionally, that two-class classifiers, namely Decision Forest, Decision Jungle and Boosted Decision Tree, achieved high Accuracy scores over 99%. In addition, comparing our performance metrics with those of other researchers, diversity is observed in using algorithms for water quality prediction, with algorithms such as Decision Tree, Artificial Neural Networks and Bayesian Belief Networks demonstrating satisfactory results. Machine learning approaches can provide critical information about the dynamic of contamination and, concurrently, consider the meteorological parameters for coastal waters classification.

摘要

在这项研究中,实施了机器学习模型,以根据 2006/7/EC 指令的框架,预测东马其顿和色雷斯地区 (EMT) 沿海水域关于 () 浓度和天气变量的分类。选择了 EMT 的六个采样站,位于卡瓦拉、赞特、罗多比、埃夫罗斯、萨索斯和萨摩斯地区单位的海滩上。在 14 年的随访期内(2009-2021 年),从 5 月到 9 月收集了所有 1039 个样本。天气参数是从附近的气象站获得的。根据 ISO 9308-1 对样本进行了检测和计数。绝大多数样本属于第 1 类(优秀),这标志着 EMT 沿海水域的高质量。实验结果还表明,两类分类器,即决策森林、决策丛林和增强决策树,在准确率超过 99%方面取得了较高的分数。此外,将我们的性能指标与其他研究人员的指标进行比较时,观察到用于水质预测的算法存在多样性,决策树、人工神经网络和贝叶斯信念网络等算法显示出令人满意的结果。机器学习方法可以提供有关污染动态的关键信息,并同时考虑用于沿海水域分类的气象参数。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f9ad/10341787/a642d2ab34f2/ijerph-20-06216-g001.jpg

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