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喜马拉雅山脉中部和东部冰川及冰川湖的长期分析

Long-term analysis of glaciers and glacier lakes in the Central and Eastern Himalaya.

作者信息

Agarwal Vibhor, Van Wyk de Vries Maximillian, Haritashya Umesh K, Garg Siddhi, Kargel Jeffrey S, Chen Ying-Ju, Shugar Dan H

机构信息

Department of Earth Sciences, The College of Wooster, OH, USA; Department of Geology and Environmental Geosciences, University of Dayton, OH, USA.

School of Geography and the Environment, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; School of Environmental Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK; Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, USA.

出版信息

Sci Total Environ. 2023 Nov 10;898:165598. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.165598. Epub 2023 Jul 17.

Abstract

Himalayan glaciers represent both an important source of water and a major suite of geohazards for inhabitants of their downstream regions. Recent climate change has intersected with local topographic, geomorphic, and glaciological factors to drive complex patterns of glacier thinning, retreat, velocity change, and lake development. In this study, we analyze the long-term variations in surface elevation change and velocity of the glaciers in the Central and Eastern Himalaya using existing and newly generated datasets spanning 1975 to 2018. We have used modelled (e.g., debris and ice thickness) and remote sensing datasets (e.g., Corona, Hexagon, and Landsat images) to investigate the impact of debris cover and the evolution of proglacial lakes on the glacier response in the region. We found that lake-terminating glaciers (lake TGs) have significantly higher thinning, velocity, and deceleration over time than land-terminating glaciers (land TGs). Lakes have shown an overall growth of 98 % in area and 40 % in number during 1975-2017. New proglacial lakes will likely continue to develop, and existing ones will keep expanding, influencing the frontal changes and dynamics of the lake-terminating glaciers. Debris-covered glaciers have undergone similar thinning compared to clean-ice glaciers, both for lake and land TGs; however, variations exist across the ablation zones between clean and debris-covered glaciers which this study further explores using a data-driven approach. Overall, the proglacial lakes development, changes in debris coverage, and topography significantly affect the glacier responses in the regions.

摘要

喜马拉雅冰川既是重要的水源地,也是下游地区居民面临的主要地质灾害源。近期的气候变化与当地的地形、地貌和冰川学因素相互作用,导致了冰川变薄、退缩、速度变化和湖泊形成等复杂模式。在本研究中,我们利用1975年至2018年的现有数据集和新生成的数据集,分析了喜马拉雅中部和东部冰川表面高程变化和速度的长期变化。我们使用了模型数据集(如碎屑和冰厚度)和遥感数据集(如科罗纳、六边形和陆地卫星图像)来研究碎屑覆盖的影响以及冰前湖的演变对该地区冰川响应的影响。我们发现,与陆地末端冰川(陆地TG)相比,湖泊末端冰川(湖泊TG)随着时间的推移,变薄、速度和减速更为显著。在1975 - 2017年期间,湖泊面积总体增长了98%,数量增长了40%。新的冰前湖可能会继续形成,现有湖泊也将持续扩张,影响湖泊末端冰川的前沿变化和动态。对于湖泊TG和陆地TG,碎屑覆盖的冰川与清洁冰冰川经历了相似程度的变薄;然而,清洁冰川和碎屑覆盖冰川的消融区存在差异,本研究使用数据驱动方法对其进行了进一步探索。总体而言,冰前湖的发展、碎屑覆盖的变化和地形显著影响了该地区的冰川响应。

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