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模糊多准则决策框架在安全关键型海上基础设施评估中的应用。

Application of a fuzzy multi-criteria decision framework for safety-critical maritime infrastructure evaluation.

作者信息

Ighravwe Desmond Eseoghene, Mashao Daniel

机构信息

University of Johannesburg, Auckland Park, South Africa.

出版信息

Heliyon. 2023 Jul 3;9(7):e17782. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e17782. eCollection 2023 Jul.

Abstract

This present paper is an investigation of a framework for Safety-Critical Maritime Infrastructure (SCMI) evaluation. The framework contains three Multi-Criteria Decision-Making (MCDM) tools, namely: fuzzy Step-wise Weight Assessment Ratio Analysis (SWARA), Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) and Weighted Aggregates Sum Product Assessment (WASPAS). It also contains five safety practice criteria: people's safety, property safety and monitoring capabilities, response to regular and irregular threats in a robust yet flexible manner, and breaches in physical security. The framework has four safety culture criteria: learning from experience and inter-element collaboration, lack of facility maintenance, and anticipating risk events and opportunities. Through the framework, an evaluation of the safety practices and safety culture of six Nigerian seaports is done. Then, data obtained from the ports in regard to their safety practices and culture were analysed in line with the framework identified and adopted. The results revealed that the safety of people's life is the most important safety practice and contributed about 47.90% to evaluate the SCMI. Results equally showed that the most significant safety culture is learning from experience, and accounted for approximately 53.20% in assessing the SCMI. Similarly, the TOPSIS method ranked Warri (A) and Tin Can Island A as the best and worst safety practices performance, respectively. Results of analyses on the TOPSIS showed that Apapa port (A) and Onne port (A) had the best and worst performances correspondingly. WASPAS was also analysed. The results indicated that A performed the best safety practice performance, while A had the worst safety practice performance. Analysis of the WASPAS method was equally done. It showed that A had the worst safety culture performance, while A had the best safety culture performance. Therefore, the proposed framework could serve as a veritable tool for analysing SCMI by using safety practice and safety culture criteria.

摘要

本文是对安全关键型海上基础设施(SCMI)评估框架的一项研究。该框架包含三种多准则决策(MCDM)工具,即:模糊逐步权重评估比率分析(SWARA)、理想解相似排序法(TOPSIS)和加权聚合和积评估法(WASPAS)。它还包含五个安全实践标准:人员安全、财产安全与监测能力、以稳健且灵活的方式应对常规和非常规威胁以及物理安全漏洞。该框架有四个安全文化标准:从经验中学习与要素间协作、设施维护不足以及预见风险事件与机遇。通过该框架,对六个尼日利亚海港的安全实践和安全文化进行了评估。然后,根据所确定和采用的框架,对从这些港口获取的有关其安全实践和文化的数据进行了分析。结果显示,人员生命安全是最重要的安全实践,对评估SCMI的贡献约为47.90%。结果还表明,最重要的安全文化是从经验中学习,在评估SCMI中占比约为53.20%。同样,TOPSIS方法将沃里港(A)和廷坎岛港A分别列为安全实践表现最佳和最差的港口。TOPSIS分析结果表明,阿帕帕港(A)和奥内港(A)分别具有最佳和最差的表现。还对WASPAS进行了分析。结果表明,A的安全实践表现最佳,而A的安全实践表现最差。也对WASPAS方法进行了分析。结果显示,A的安全文化表现最差,而A的安全文化表现最佳。因此,所提出的框架可作为通过使用安全实践和安全文化标准来分析SCMI的有效工具。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1d95/10368772/51c0571ebd99/gr1.jpg

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