Kirsch Stuart
Department of anthropology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.
Anthropol Theory. 2023 Jun;23(2):167-185. doi: 10.1177/14634996221107961. Epub 2022 Jun 26.
Fifteen years ago, Jane Guyer (2007) argued that the near future had largely disappeared from collective imaginaries, replaced by longer-term horizons associated with evangelical Christianity and free market capitalism. While not seeking to repudiate Guyer, this article argues that recent developments have radically altered relationships to the future. It points to a previously unrecognized connection between two of the most significant challenges facing humanity today: the experience of living through a global pandemic and international efforts to limit the harmful consequences of climate change. Responses to both phenomena invoke the grammatical structure of the future perfect tense. During the pandemic, people began to imagine themselves living at a future moment in time when they have already resumed participating in those activities they have been prevented from undertaking, an example of the future perfect. The Paris Climate Agreement, which encourages states and other parties to take action in the present so that in the future they will already have saved the planet, also relies on the future perfect. In reaction to the pandemic and climate change, the near future has reemerged as a focal point of temporal attention. This article examines how the future appears in the present and the contribution of the future perfect tense to the creation of alternative futures.
十五年前,简·盖耶(2007)认为,不久的将来在集体想象中已基本消失,取而代之的是与福音派基督教和自由市场资本主义相关的更长远视野。本文虽无意反驳盖耶的观点,但认为近期的发展已从根本上改变了与未来的关系。它指出了当今人类面临的两个最重大挑战之间一种此前未被认识到的联系:经历全球大流行的体验与限制气候变化有害后果的国际努力。对这两种现象的应对都援引了将来完成时的语法结构。在大流行期间,人们开始想象自己生活在一个未来时刻,那时他们已经重新开始参与那些此前被阻止进行的活动,这就是将来完成时的一个例子。《巴黎气候协定》鼓励各国及其他各方当下采取行动,以便在未来他们已经拯救了地球,这同样依赖于将来完成时。作为对大流行和气候变化的回应,不久的将来再度成为时间关注的焦点。本文探讨了未来如何呈现在当下,以及将来完成时对创造别样未来的贡献。