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从环境恶化和经济政策不确定性的角度看环境库兹涅茨曲线的不同之处:来自脆弱国家的证据。

A different look at the environmental Kuznets curve from the perspective of environmental deterioration and economic policy uncertainty: evidence from fragile countries.

机构信息

Business Administration Department, Faculty of Management Sciences, ILMA University, Karachi, Pakistan.

Siverek Vocational School, Department of Accounting and Taxation, Harran University, Sanliurfa, Turkey.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2024 Jul;31(34):46235-46254. doi: 10.1007/s11356-023-28761-w. Epub 2023 Aug 2.

DOI:10.1007/s11356-023-28761-w
PMID:37531053
Abstract

Environmental degradation is one of the most significant issues that developing nations confront and needs to be resolved right away in order for them to achieve sustainable development. Government policies are crucial in this situation since emerging nations frequently struggle with the issue of policy ambiguity, which can result in environmental deterioration. In this context, this study investigates how policy uncertainty affects environmental degradation in the five fragile emerging economies known as the Fragile Five-Brazil, India, Indonesia, South Africa, and Turkey. Using data from 1996 to 2019, we estimate a Panel Quantile Regression analysis. The empirical findings indicate that economic policy uncertainty and technology innovation increases the environmental degradation whereas environmental degradation is slowed down by financial development and renewable energy consumption. Empirical evidence also confirms the presence of EKC hypothesis in fragile economies. Based on the findings, we suggest both a policy and an environmental framework for achieving sustainable development in fragile economies.

摘要

环境恶化是发展中国家面临的最重大问题之一,为了实现可持续发展,必须立即解决这个问题。在这种情况下,政府政策至关重要,因为新兴国家经常面临政策模糊的问题,这可能导致环境恶化。在这方面,本研究调查了政策不确定性如何影响被称为脆弱五国的五个脆弱新兴经济体的环境恶化——巴西、印度、印度尼西亚、南非和土耳其。我们使用了 1996 年至 2019 年的数据,估计了面板分位数回归分析。实证结果表明,经济政策不确定性和技术创新会加剧环境恶化,而金融发展和可再生能源消费则会减缓环境恶化。实证证据也证实了脆弱经济体中存在 EKC 假设。基于这些发现,我们为脆弱经济体提出了一个实现可持续发展的政策和环境框架。

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