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从萨赫勒地区自然灾害历史中吸取教训:全面分析和未来韧性建设的经验教训。

Learning from history of natural disasters in the Sahel: a comprehensive analysis and lessons for future resilience.

机构信息

Laboratoire Eaux Hydro-Systèmes et Agriculture (LEHSA), Institut International d'Ingénierie de l'Eau et de l'Environnement (2iE) 01 BP 594, Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso.

Laboratoire de Mathématiques Informatique et Applications (LaMIA), Université Nazi Boni 01 BP 1091, Bobo-Dioulasso, Burkina Faso.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2024 Jun;31(28):40704-40716. doi: 10.1007/s11356-023-28989-6. Epub 2023 Aug 7.

Abstract

One of the first environmental crises to attract interest in development initiatives and aid was the great drought of the 1970s in the Sahel. This study investigates the extent of damage caused by natural disasters from one of the most widely used databases-EM-DAT-with a sample size of 16 Sahelian countries over the period 1960-2020. These countries have been divided into three regions: Western Africa Sahel (WAS), Central Africa Sahel (CAS), and Eastern Africa Sahel (EAS). The analyses encompass four categories of natural hazards, namely, biological, climatological, hydrological, and meteorological. We used descriptive and test statistics to summarize the natural disaster records. Through this approach, we explore tendencies to identify the most frequently reported natural hazards; we examine their spatial distribution and evaluate their impacts in terms of socioeconomic damage and causalities. During the study period, a total of 1000 events were recorded in the database. The Western Africa Sahel (WAS) region had the highest number of disasters, with 476 events, followed by the Eastern Africa Sahel (EAS) region with 369 events. The most common hazards in the Sahel were hydrological (41.8%), mainly floods, and biological (39.5%) hazards. Approximately 300 million people in the Sahel were affected by natural hazards, with 59.17% in EAS, 36.48% in WAS, and 4.35% in CAS. Although droughts occurred less frequently (14%), they had a significant impact on the population, affecting 84% of those affected by natural hazards. In general, EAS experiences a higher impact from natural hazards, potentially influenced by the pastoral lifestyle of its population. However, WAS is also very vulnerable to natural hazards especially epidemics and nowadays floods. The uncontrolled urbanization in the area may contribute to this vulnerability.

摘要

撒哈拉地区 20 世纪 70 年代的大干旱是首个引起发展倡议和援助关注的环境危机之一。本研究利用最广泛使用的数据库之一——EM-DAT,对 1960 年至 2020 年期间 16 个萨赫勒国家的自然灾害造成的破坏程度进行了调查。这些国家分为三个区域:西非萨赫勒(WAS)、中非萨赫勒(CAS)和东非萨赫勒(EAS)。分析涵盖了生物、气候、水文和气象四类自然灾害。我们使用描述性和检验统计数据来总结自然灾害记录。通过这种方法,我们探索了识别最常报告的自然灾害的趋势;我们检查了它们的空间分布,并根据社会经济损失和因果关系评估了它们的影响。在研究期间,数据库中记录了 1000 次事件。西非萨赫勒(WAS)地区发生的灾害最多,有 476 次,其次是东非萨赫勒(EAS)地区,有 369 次。萨赫勒地区最常见的灾害是水文灾害(41.8%),主要是洪水,其次是生物灾害(39.5%)。约有 3000 万人受到萨赫勒地区自然灾害的影响,其中东非萨赫勒地区(EAS)占 59.17%,西非萨赫勒地区(WAS)占 36.48%,中非萨赫勒地区(CAS)占 4.35%。尽管干旱发生的频率较低(14%),但它们对人口造成了重大影响,影响了 84%的受自然灾害影响的人口。一般来说,EAS 地区受到自然灾害的影响更大,这可能受到其人口游牧生活方式的影响。然而,WAS 地区也非常容易受到自然灾害的影响,尤其是流行病和现在的洪水。该地区不受控制的城市化可能导致了这种脆弱性。

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