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没有证据表明中国的游戏时间限制减少了视频游戏行业某一细分领域的重度游戏。

No evidence that Chinese playtime mandates reduced heavy gaming in one segment of the video games industry.

机构信息

Department of Computer Science, University of York, York, UK.

School of Computer Science and Informatics, De Montfort University, Leicester, UK.

出版信息

Nat Hum Behav. 2023 Oct;7(10):1753-1766. doi: 10.1038/s41562-023-01669-8. Epub 2023 Aug 10.

Abstract

Governments around the world are considering regulatory measures to reduce young people's time spent on digital devices, particularly video games. This raises the question of whether proposed regulatory measures would be effective. Since the early 2000s, the Chinese government has been enacting regulations to directly restrict young people's playtime. In November 2019, it limited players aged under 18 to 1.5 hours of daily playtime and 3 hours on public holidays. Using telemetry data on over seven billion hours of playtime provided by a stakeholder from the video games industry, we found no credible evidence for overall reduction in the prevalence of heavy playtime following the implementation of regulations: individual accounts became 1.14 times more likely to play heavily in any given week (95% confidence interval 1.139-1.141). This falls below our preregistered smallest effect size of interest (2.0) and thus is not interpreted as a practically meaningful increase. Results remain robust across a variety of sensitivity analyses, including an analysis of more recent (2021) adjustments to playtime regulation. This casts doubt on the effectiveness of such state-controlled playtime mandates.

摘要

世界各地的政府都在考虑采取监管措施,以减少年轻人在数字设备上,特别是视频游戏上的时间。这就提出了一个问题,即拟议的监管措施是否有效。自 21 世纪初以来,中国政府一直在制定法规,直接限制年轻人的游戏时间。2019 年 11 月,它将 18 岁以下的玩家每天的游戏时间限制在 1.5 小时,节假日为 3 小时。我们利用一家视频游戏行业利益相关者提供的超过 70 亿小时游戏时间的遥测数据,没有发现任何可信的证据表明,在实施这些规定后,重度游戏的流行率总体上有所降低:在任何给定的一周内,个人游戏账户重度游戏的可能性增加了 1.14 倍(95%置信区间为 1.139-1.141)。这低于我们预先注册的最感兴趣的最小效应量(2.0),因此不能被解释为具有实际意义的增长。在包括对游戏时间监管的最新(2021 年)调整的各种敏感性分析中,结果仍然稳健。这对这种国家控制的游戏时间规定的有效性提出了质疑。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/0481/10593605/9d40f87a323b/41562_2023_1669_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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