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COVID-19 住院患者病死率:一项新的系统评价和荟萃分析。

COVID-19 fatality rates in hospitalized patients: A new systematic review and meta-analysis.

机构信息

Faculdade de Medicina e Ciências Biomédicas Universidade Algarve, Faro, Portugal.

Faculdade de Medicina e Ciências Biomédicas Universidade Algarve, Faro, Portugal; Algarve Biomedical Center, Faro, Portugal.

出版信息

J Infect Public Health. 2023 Oct;16(10):1606-1612. doi: 10.1016/j.jiph.2023.07.006. Epub 2023 Jul 20.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

SARS-COV2 or COVID-19 disease is an infectious illness that emerged for the first time at the end of 2019, in Wuhan, China and rapidly turned out to be an international pandemic with deleterious effects all over the world. In March 2021, A. Macedo et al., has published the first meta-analysis of hospital mortality, so the authors decided to update those data at a time of emergence of new therapies and increasing vaccination rates.

METHODS

As the outcome of interest was the mortality in hospitalized general patients, the authors looked for articles evaluating the clinical characteristics of those patients, consulting PUBMED (The US National Library of Medicine) and EMBASE (Medical database) in an independent selection using predefined terms of search. A meta-analysis random-effect model was estimated using Mantel-Haenszel method. Heterogeneity among studies was tested using Tau statistics and Chi statistics.

RESULTS

In a first instance 25 articles were included for final analysis with a total of 103,840 patients, but as the goal was to update the anterior data, these studies were analysed together with the 21 studies of the previous meta-analysis, with a total of 114609 patients. The mortality rate of COVID-19 general patients admitted to the hospital was 16% (95% CI 12; 21, I =100%).

CONCLUSION

Global hospital mortality of COVID-19 of general patients was 16%, with quite different rates according to the different geographic areas analysed.

摘要

背景

SARS-CoV-2 或 COVID-19 疾病是一种传染病,于 2019 年底在中国武汉首次出现,并迅速成为一种具有全球破坏性影响的国际大流行疾病。2021 年 3 月,A. Macedo 等人发表了第一篇关于医院死亡率的荟萃分析,因此作者决定在新疗法出现和疫苗接种率不断提高的情况下更新这些数据。

方法

由于感兴趣的结局是住院普通患者的死亡率,作者检索了评估这些患者临床特征的文章,使用预定义的搜索术语在独立选择中查询了 PUBMED(美国国家医学图书馆)和 EMBASE(医学数据库)。使用 Mantel-Haenszel 方法估计了随机效应模型的荟萃分析。使用 Tau 统计量和 Chi 统计量检验研究间的异质性。

结果

最初有 25 篇文章被纳入最终分析,共有 103840 名患者,但由于目标是更新先前的数据,因此这些研究与之前荟萃分析的 21 项研究一起进行了分析,共有 114609 名患者。住院 COVID-19 普通患者的死亡率为 16%(95%CI 12%;21%,I=100%)。

结论

全球 COVID-19 普通住院患者的死亡率为 16%,根据分析的不同地理区域,死亡率差异很大。

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