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肝纤维化评分与创伤性脑损伤患者的死亡率相关。

Liver fibrosis score is associated with the mortality of traumatic brain injury patients.

作者信息

Wang Ruoran, Cai Linrui, Liu Yan, Zhang Jing, He Min, Xu Jianguo

机构信息

Department of Neurosurgery, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, No. 37, Guoxue Alley, Sichuan Province, 610041, Chengdu, China.

Institute of Drug Clinical Trial·GCP, West China Second University Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China.

出版信息

Neurosurg Rev. 2023 Aug 15;46(1):201. doi: 10.1007/s10143-023-02095-0.

Abstract

The fibrosis-4 score is a marker of liver fibrosis and has been confirmed to be associated with the prognosis of various diseases. There is no study exploring the prognostic value of the fibrosis-4 score in traumatic brain injury (TBI) patients. We design this study to explore the association between the fibrosis-4 score and mortality from TBI. TBI patients from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-III database were extracted for the study. Univariate and multivariate logistic regressions were sequentially performed to analyze the association between fibrosis-4 and mortality in TBI. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was drawn to evaluate the prognostic value of fibrosis-4 and other scores. A total of 1018 TBI patients were included, with a 30-day mortality of 24.2%. Non-survivors had older age, lower Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), and higher injury severity score (ISS) than survivors. The aspartate aminotransferase platelet ratio index (APRI) and fibrosis-4 score were significantly higher in non-survivors. Univariate logistic regression showed that age, GCS, ISS, white blood cell, hemoglobin, fibrosis-4 score, subarachnoid hemorrhage, and anticoagulants were associated with the mortality of TBI patients. Multivariate logistic regression presented that age, GCS, ISS, fibrosis-4 score, subarachnoid hemorrhage, and anticoagulants were independent risk factors of mortality in TBI patients after adjusting for confounding effects. The AUC of the GCS, ISS, APRI, and fibrosis-4 score for predicting mortality was 0.711, 0.625, 0.592, and 0.627, respectively. Composed of age, GCS, ISS, fibrosis-4 score, subarachnoid hemorrhage, and anticoagulants, the predictive model had the highest AUC value of 0.790. The fibrosis-4 score is an independent risk factor for mortality in TBI. The model incorporating fibrosis-4 performs well in predicting the prognosis of TBI patients.

摘要

纤维化-4评分是肝纤维化的一个标志物,并且已被证实与多种疾病的预后相关。尚无研究探讨纤维化-4评分在创伤性脑损伤(TBI)患者中的预后价值。我们设计本研究以探讨纤维化-4评分与TBI患者死亡率之间的关联。从重症监护医学信息数据库三期(Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-III database)中提取TBI患者用于本研究。依次进行单因素和多因素逻辑回归分析,以分析TBI中纤维化-4与死亡率之间的关联。绘制受试者工作特征曲线(ROC)下面积(AUC)以评估纤维化-4及其他评分的预后价值。共纳入1018例TBI患者,30天死亡率为24.2%。非幸存者比幸存者年龄更大、格拉斯哥昏迷量表(GCS)更低且损伤严重程度评分(ISS)更高。非幸存者的天冬氨酸转氨酶与血小板比值指数(APRI)和纤维化-4评分显著更高。单因素逻辑回归显示,年龄、GCS、ISS、白细胞、血红蛋白、纤维化-4评分、蛛网膜下腔出血和抗凝剂与TBI患者的死亡率相关。多因素逻辑回归显示,在调整混杂效应后,年龄、GCS、ISS、纤维化-4评分、蛛网膜下腔出血和抗凝剂是TBI患者死亡的独立危险因素。GCS、ISS、APRI和纤维化-4评分预测死亡率的AUC分别为0.711、0.625、0.592和0.627。由年龄、GCS、ISS、纤维化-4评分、蛛网膜下腔出血和抗凝剂组成的预测模型的AUC值最高,为0.790。纤维化-4评分是TBI患者死亡的独立危险因素。纳入纤维化-4的模型在预测TBI患者的预后方面表现良好。

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