Billy J O, Landale N S, McLaughlin S D
Demography. 1986 Aug;23(3):329-49.
The sequencing of marriage and first birth was expected to play an important role in the stability of marriage among adolescent mothers. We hypothesized that adolescent women who married prior to conception would have the lowest rates of marital disruption, followed by those who married between conception and birth. Adolescent women who gave birth prior to marriage were expected to suffer the highest rates of marital dissolution. The results provide partial support for our hypotheses. There is little difference in the probability of separation between adolescent mothers who had a postmarital conception and those who had a premarital conception but married before the birth. Having a premarital birth, however, significantly increases the probability of marital dissolution. We also hypothesized that marital status at first birth would have less effect on the probability of marital dissolution for blacks than for whites. This, too, is generally supported by our findings. Among black females, those with a premarital birth are the first to suffer a marital disruption, but by the end of ten years there is little difference in the probability of separation among the three marital status groups. In contrast, among white females, those with a premarital birth are the first to experience a disruption, and this differential persists over all subsequent marriage duration intervals. Thus, the sequencing of marriage relative to birth has similar short term effects for whites and blacks, but the effect for blacks is evident only in the short term. Ten years after the marriage, black adolescent mothers have similar rates of marital stability regardless of the sequencing of marriage. This is consistent with the findings of previous research and with our hypothesis; with the black family pattern of lower rates of marriage, higher rates of illegitimacy and higher divorce rates, the sequencing of marriage has no long lasting consequences on marital stability. Finally, our predicted decline in the effect of marital status at first birth over historical time also finds partial support. For white females there has been a change in the effect of marriage-first birth sequencing on separation over time. In the period encompassed by the women in our study, white adolescent mothers who married subsequent to the birth have been the most likely to experience a separation at all marriage duration intervals, but this differential narrows as age at interview declines. Among black females there has been no change in the effect of a premarital birth over time.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 400 WORDS)
结婚与首次生育的先后顺序被认为在未成年母亲的婚姻稳定性中起着重要作用。我们假设,在怀孕前结婚的未成年女性婚姻破裂率最低,其次是在怀孕至生育期间结婚的女性。预计在婚前生育的未成年女性婚姻解体率最高。研究结果部分支持了我们的假设。婚后怀孕的未成年母亲与婚前怀孕但在孩子出生前结婚的未成年母亲在分居概率上几乎没有差异。然而,婚前生育会显著增加婚姻解体的概率。我们还假设,首次生育时的婚姻状况对黑人婚姻解体概率的影响要小于白人。这一假设也在很大程度上得到了我们研究结果的支持。在黑人女性中,婚前生育的女性最早经历婚姻破裂,但到十年结束时,三种婚姻状况群体的分居概率几乎没有差异。相比之下,在白人女性中,婚前生育的女性最早经历婚姻破裂,而且这种差异在所有后续婚姻持续期间都持续存在。因此,相对于生育而言,结婚顺序对白人和黑人有类似的短期影响,但对黑人的影响仅在短期内明显。结婚十年后,无论结婚顺序如何,黑人未成年母亲的婚姻稳定性相似。这与之前的研究结果以及我们的假设一致;由于黑人家庭模式的结婚率较低、非婚生率较高和离婚率较高,结婚顺序对婚姻稳定性没有长期影响。最后,我们预测的首次生育时婚姻状况的影响在历史时期内会下降这一点也得到了部分支持。对于白人女性来说,随着时间的推移,结婚 - 首次生育顺序对分居的影响发生了变化。在我们研究中的女性所涵盖的时期内,孩子出生后结婚的白人未成年母亲在所有婚姻持续期间最有可能经历分居,但随着访谈时年龄的下降,这种差异会缩小。在黑人女性中,婚前生育的影响随时间没有变化。(摘要截选至400字)