McCarthy J
Demography. 1978 Aug;15(3):345-59.
This paper applies the techniques of multiple decrement life tables to marriage histories collected as part of the 1973 National Survey of Family Growth, in an attempt to examine differences in pattern and level of marriage dissolution by marriage order. The paper considers the process of marriage dissolution in two stages--marriage to separation and separation to divorce--in addition to considering the composite of these two, marriage to divorce. Second marriages are more likely to reamin intact only for blacks. For all subgroups of whites, second marriages are either as likely or more likely to dissolve than first marriages. For both first and second marriages, blacks are considerably less likely to obtain a divorce after separation.
本文运用多重减量生命表技术,对作为1973年全国家庭增长调查一部分收集的婚姻史进行分析,试图研究按婚姻次序划分的婚姻解体模式和程度的差异。除了考虑婚姻到离婚这一综合过程外,本文还分两个阶段考察婚姻解体过程——从结婚到分居以及从分居到离婚。只有黑人的第二次婚姻更有可能维持完整。对于白人的所有亚组而言,第二次婚姻解体的可能性与第一次婚姻相当或更高。对于初婚和二婚来说,黑人在分居后获得离婚的可能性要小得多。