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伊朗东南部女性生育意愿的直接前因

Immediate Antecedents of Intentions for Having Children in Southeast Iranian Women.

作者信息

Ghasemi Javad, Safizadeh Mansoureh, Khajeh Zahra, Nakhaee Nouzar

机构信息

Social Determinants of Health Research Center, Institute for Futures Studies in Health, Kerman University of Medical Sciences, Kerman, Iran.

Health Services Management Research Center, Institute for Futures Studies in Health, Kerman University of Medical Sciences, Kerman, Iran.

出版信息

Korean J Fam Med. 2023 Sep;44(5):289-294. doi: 10.4082/kjfm.23.0048. Epub 2023 Aug 18.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Over the last decade, Iran has experienced a declining birth trend. Identifying the proximate determinants of fertility intentions among married women is informative for population studies. This study aimed to examine the importance of three immediate antecedents of fertility intention.

METHODS

We invited 1,100 married women to complete a well-validated questionnaire based on the theory of planned behavior (TPB). The sampling framework consisted of visitors attending hospitals in two cities in southeastern Iran. Intention for having children was measured using the item "Do you intend to have a/another child during the next 3 years?" Attitude, subjective norms, and perceived behavioral control were measured using eight, three, and three items, respectively. Structural equation modeling was used to specify the model and to test the predictive ability of the TPB constructs.

RESULTS

The response rate was 90.7% (N=998), and the mean±standard deviation age of the respondents was 34.8±7.4 years. More than 50% of the respondents reported intending to have a child in the next 3 years. All three TPB model constructs showed significant associations with fertility intentions. The standardized beta coefficients for attitudes, subjective norms, and perceived behavioral control were 0.74, 0.41, and 0.55, respectively.

CONCLUSION

The TPB model showed that psychological mechanisms play an important role in predicting the childbearing intentions of married women in Iran. Of the three TPB constructs, attitude was the strongest predictor of the intention to have a child.

摘要

背景

在过去十年中,伊朗经历了生育趋势下降的情况。确定已婚女性生育意愿的近因对于人口研究具有参考价值。本研究旨在探讨生育意愿的三个直接前因的重要性。

方法

我们邀请了1100名已婚女性根据计划行为理论(TPB)完成一份经过充分验证的问卷。抽样框架包括伊朗东南部两个城市医院的访客。生育意愿通过“您是否打算在未来3年内生育一个/另一个孩子?”这一问题来衡量。态度、主观规范和感知行为控制分别通过8个、3个和3个项目来衡量。采用结构方程模型来确定模型并检验TPB构念的预测能力。

结果

回复率为90.7%(N = 998),受访者的平均年龄±标准差为34.8±7.4岁。超过50%的受访者表示打算在未来3年内生育一个孩子。TPB模型的所有三个构念均与生育意愿存在显著关联。态度、主观规范和感知行为控制的标准化β系数分别为0.74、0.41和0.55。

结论

TPB模型表明,心理机制在预测伊朗已婚女性的生育意愿方面发挥着重要作用。在TPB的三个构念中,态度是生育意愿的最强预测因素。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/dcd5/10522470/cfd08af87d1f/kjfm-23-0048f1.jpg

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