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新冠病毒死亡病例周末居多。

COVID-19 deaths on weekends.

机构信息

Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada.

Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences, Toronto, Canada.

出版信息

BMC Public Health. 2023 Aug 22;23(1):1596. doi: 10.1186/s12889-023-16451-8.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Mortality statistics about daily deaths might change on weekends due to delays in reporting, uneven staffing, a different mix of personnel, or decreased efficiency. We hypothesized that reported deaths for COVID-19 might increase on weekends compared to weekdays.

METHODS

We collected data from the World Health Organization COVID-19 database. All deaths from March 7, 2020 to March 7, 2022 were included (two years). The primary analysis evaluated mean daily deaths on weekends compared to the preceding five workdays. Analyses were replicated in ten individual countries: United States, United Kingdom, France, Germany, Italy, Spain, Russia, India, Brazil, and Canada.

RESULTS

The mean COVID-19 daily deaths was higher on weekends compared to weekdays (8,532 vs. 8,083 p < 0.001), equal to a 6% relative increase (95% confidence interval 3% to 8%). The highest absolute increase was in the United States (1,483 vs. 1,220 deaths, p < 0.001). The second highest absolute increase was in Brazil (1,061 vs. 823 deaths, p < 0.001). The increase in deaths on weekends remained significant during the earlier and later months of the pandemic, as well as during the greater and lesser weeks of the pandemic.

CONCLUSIONS

The apparent increased COVID-19 deaths reported on weekends might potentially reflect patient care, confound community trends, and affect the public perception of risk.

摘要

背景

由于报告延迟、人员配置不均、人员构成不同或效率降低,有关每日死亡人数的死亡率统计数据可能会在周末发生变化。我们假设,与工作日相比,COVID-19 的报告死亡人数可能会在周末增加。

方法

我们从世界卫生组织 COVID-19 数据库中收集数据。包括 2020 年 3 月 7 日至 2022 年 3 月 7 日期间的所有死亡病例(两年)。主要分析评估了周末与前五个工作日相比的平均每日死亡人数。在 10 个单独的国家/地区复制了分析:美国、英国、法国、德国、意大利、西班牙、俄罗斯、印度、巴西和加拿大。

结果

与工作日相比,周末 COVID-19 的平均每日死亡人数更高(8532 与 8083,p<0.001),相对增加了 6%(95%置信区间 3%至 8%)。绝对值增加最多的是美国(1483 与 1220 人死亡,p<0.001)。其次是巴西(1061 与 823 人死亡,p<0.001)。大流行早期和后期以及大流行周和小周期间,周末死亡人数的增加仍然显著。

结论

周末报告的 COVID-19 死亡人数增加可能反映了患者护理、混淆了社区趋势,并影响了公众对风险的看法。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c6a8/10464124/9b02afe23884/12889_2023_16451_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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