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COVID-19 住院患者病死率:系统评价和荟萃分析。

COVID-19 fatality rates in hospitalized patients: systematic review and meta-analysis.

机构信息

Keypoint - Consultoria Científica, Lda, Lisbon, Portugal; Departamento de Ciências Biomédicas e Medicina, Universidade do Algarve, Faro, Portugal.

Keypoint - Consultoria Científica, Lda, Lisbon, Portugal; Nova IMS - Universidade Nova de Lisboa, Lisbon, Portugal.

出版信息

Ann Epidemiol. 2021 May;57:14-21. doi: 10.1016/j.annepidem.2021.02.012. Epub 2021 Mar 2.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) is an infectious disease caused by a newly discovered coronavirus. Although general and local public health report deathly cases, case fatality rates are still largely unknown. Thus, we sought to evaluate the mortality of COVID-19.

METHODS

We searched PubMed and EMBASE databases for articles evaluating the clinical characteristics of COVID-19 patients that included clinical outcomes, between December 2020 and 24 April 2020. Two authors performed an independent selection using predefined terms of search.

RESULTS

We retrieved 33 studies with a total of 13,398 patients with COVID-19 diagnosis. The mortality rate of the COVID-19 patients was 17.1% (95% CI 12.7; 22.7, I = 96.9%). For general patients admitted to the hospital (excluding critical care-only studies) the mortality rate of the COVID-19 was 11.5% (95% CI 7.7; 16.9, I = 96.7%). Among critical illness studies (n = 7) we found a 40.5% mortality (95% CI 31.2; 50.6, I = 91.8%).

CONCLUSION

High COVID-19 mortality among general admitted patients and critical care cases should guide resources allocations and economic burden calculations during the pandemics.

摘要

背景

冠状病毒病(COVID-19)是一种由新型冠状病毒引起的传染病。尽管一般和地方公共卫生报告了致命病例,但病死率仍知之甚少。因此,我们试图评估 COVID-19 的死亡率。

方法

我们检索了 PubMed 和 EMBASE 数据库,以评估包含 COVID-19 患者临床结局的临床特征的文章,这些文章的纳入时间为 2020 年 12 月至 2020 年 4 月 24 日。两名作者使用预定义的搜索词进行了独立选择。

结果

我们检索到 33 项研究,共纳入了 13398 例 COVID-19 患者。COVID-19 患者的死亡率为 17.1%(95%CI 12.7%至 22.7%,I²=96.9%)。对于一般住院患者(不包括仅重症监护的研究),COVID-19 的死亡率为 11.5%(95%CI 7.7%至 16.9%,I²=96.7%)。在重症疾病研究(n=7)中,我们发现死亡率为 40.5%(95%CI 31.2%至 50.6%,I²=91.8%)。

结论

一般住院患者和重症监护病例中 COVID-19 死亡率较高,应指导大流行期间资源配置和经济负担的计算。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c87d/7920817/ee5ce5d96c74/gr1_lrg.jpg

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