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周末入院的急诊患者死亡率较高,这反映出入院的可能性较低。

Higher mortality rates amongst emergency patients admitted to hospital at weekends reflect a lower probability of admission.

作者信息

Meacock Rachel, Anselmi Laura, Kristensen Søren Rud, Doran Tim, Sutton Matt

机构信息

1 Manchester Centre for Health Economics, University of Manchester, UK.

2 Department of Health Sciences, University of York, UK.

出版信息

J Health Serv Res Policy. 2017 Jan;22(1):12-19. doi: 10.1177/1355819616649630. Epub 2016 Jul 8.


DOI:10.1177/1355819616649630
PMID:27255144
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC5482385/
Abstract

Objective Patients admitted as emergencies to hospitals at the weekend have higher death rates than patients admitted on weekdays. This may be because the restricted service availability at weekends leads to selection of patients with greater average severity of illness. We examined volumes and rates of hospital admissions and deaths across the week for patients presenting to emergency services through two routes: (a) hospital Accident and Emergency departments, which are open throughout the week; and (b) services in the community, for which availability is more restricted at weekends. Method Retrospective observational study of all 140 non-specialist acute hospital Trusts in England analyzing 12,670,788 Accident and Emergency attendances and 4,656,586 emergency admissions (940,859 direct admissions from primary care and 3,715,727 admissions through Accident and Emergency) between April 2013 and February 2014.Emergency attendances and admissions to hospital and deaths in any hospital within 30 days of attendance or admission were compared for weekdays and weekends. Results Similar numbers of patients attended Accident and Emergency on weekends and weekdays. There were similar numbers of deaths amongst patients attending Accident and Emergency on weekend days compared with weekdays (378.0 vs. 388.3). Attending Accident and Emergency at the weekend was not associated with a significantly higher probability of death (risk-adjusted OR: 1.010). Proportionately fewer patients who attended Accident and Emergency at weekend were admitted to hospital (27.5% vs. 30.0%) and it is only amongst the subset of patients attending Accident and Emergency who were selected for admission to hospital that the probability of dying was significantly higher at the weekend (risk-adjusted OR: 1.054). The average volume of direct admissions from services in the community was 61% lower on weekend days compared to weekdays (1317 vs. 3404). There were fewer deaths following direct admission on weekend days than weekdays (35.9 vs. 80.8). The mortality rate was significantly higher at weekends amongst direct admissions (risk-adjusted OR: 1.212) due to the proportionately greater reduction in admissions relative to deaths. Conclusions There are fewer deaths following hospital admission at weekends. Higher mortality rates at weekends are found only amongst the subset of patients who are admitted. The reduced availability of primary care services and the higher Accident and Emergency admission threshold at weekends mean fewer and sicker patients are admitted at weekends than during the week. Extending services in hospitals and in the community at weekends may increase the number of emergency admissions and therefore lower mortality, but may not reduce the absolute number of deaths.

摘要

目的 周末因急诊入院的患者死亡率高于工作日入院的患者。这可能是因为周末服务受限导致选择了病情平均严重程度更高的患者。我们通过两种途径研究了一周内急诊患者的住院量和死亡率:(a)医院的急诊部门,一周七天均开放;(b)社区服务,周末的可及性更受限。方法 对英格兰所有140家非专科急性医院信托进行回顾性观察研究,分析2013年4月至2014年2月期间的12,670,788次急诊就诊和4,656,586次急诊入院(940,859次来自初级保健的直接入院和3,715,727次通过急诊入院)。比较工作日和周末急诊就诊、入院以及就诊或入院后30天内在任何医院的死亡情况。结果 周末和工作日急诊就诊的患者数量相似。周末和工作日急诊就诊患者中的死亡人数相似(378.0对388.3)。周末去急诊与死亡概率显著升高无关(风险调整后的比值比:1.010)。周末去急诊的患者中,住院的比例相对较少(27.5%对30.0%),只有在那些被选入住院的急诊就诊患者子集中,周末死亡概率才显著更高(风险调整后的比值比:1.054)。与工作日相比,社区服务的直接入院平均量在周末降低了61%(1317对3404)。周末直接入院后的死亡人数比工作日少(35.9对80.8)。由于入院量相对于死亡量的下降比例更大,周末直接入院患者的死亡率显著更高(风险调整后的比值比:1.212)。结论 周末住院后的死亡人数较少。仅在入院患者子集中发现周末死亡率较高。周末初级保健服务可及性降低以及急诊入院门槛提高意味着周末入院的患者比工作日少且病情更重。周末扩展医院和社区服务可能会增加急诊入院人数,从而降低死亡率,但可能不会减少死亡的绝对数量。

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本文引用的文献

[1]
Seven day working: why the health secretary's proposal is not as simple as it sounds.

BMJ. 2015-9-5

[2]
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BMJ. 2015-9-5

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BMJ. 2015-9-5

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BMJ. 2015-9-5

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BMJ. 2015-7-14

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BMJ Qual Saf. 2015-8

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Eur J Public Health. 2015-2

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