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沙特阿拉伯用 32 项政策措施应对新冠肺炎疫情:混合方法分析。

Managing the COVID-19 pandemic in thirty-two policy measures in Saudi Arabia: A mixed-methods analysis.

机构信息

Department of Human Resources Management, College of Business, University of Jeddah, Saudi Arabia; Department of Management, Higher Institute of Management, ISG, University of Sousse, Tunisia.

Department of Finance, College of Business, University of Jeddah, Saudi Arabia; Department of Quantitative Methods, Higher Institute of Management, ISG, University of Sousse, Tunisia.

出版信息

J Infect Public Health. 2023 Oct;16(10):1650-1658. doi: 10.1016/j.jiph.2023.08.008. Epub 2023 Aug 10.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia has developed rigorous strategies to control and prevent the spread of COVID-19. However, the effectiveness of these measures in containing and mitigating the epidemic has yet to be studied. This paper aims to assess the efficiency of preventive policy initiatives that Saudi Arabia has taken to reduce the spread of COVID-19, which was rapid and progressive in nature. Information on the effectiveness of measures applies to help the Saudi government adjust policy responses when considering which measures to relax once the epidemic is controlled.

METHODS

Data for this study were retrieved via publicly available data sources such as the Saudi Arabia Ministry of Health and the government's official news agency-Saudi Press Agency (SPA) websites. Other datasets, such as prevention measures, were gathered from the Country Policy Tracker website. Our dataset's time component extends over 590 consecutive days from 20 January 2020-31 August 2021. Moreover, a mixed-method approach combining COVID-19 data and prevention measures was adopted to assess preventative measures practice. We compiled the dataset used in this study in a Microsoft Excel database. The significance of observed differences among implementing effective strategies was determined using ANOVA and Mixed methods approach. Noticeably, the statistical analysis was performed using the open-source statistical system R version 4.2 (available at http://cran.r-project.org).

RESULTS

Our analysis showed that only three out of the 32 (9.4%) measures significantly reduced the spread of COVID-19. Our results also show substantial variations in the spread of COVID-19 associated with preventive measures in Saudi Arabia. There was a significant positive correlation between activating and massive testing in communities and cases of COVID-19 (measure effect = 923.086 and p < 0.05). A similar result was found for complete curfew across the Kingdom and cases of COVID-19 (measure effect = 621.389 and p < 0.10). Removing slum areas interrupted the spread of Covid-19 (measure effect = 305.689 and p < 0.01). The other preventive measures did not significantly affect the COVID-19 pandemic distribution. These findings consistently concluded that activating and massive testing in communities, complete curfew across the Kingdom, and removal of slum areas were the most effective measures for reducing the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic.

CONCLUSION

Only by understanding these correlations will it be possible to control and reduce the rate of COVID-19 spread and, therefore, suggest a possible exit strategy once the epidemic is controlled.

摘要

背景

沙特阿拉伯王国制定了严格的策略来控制和预防 COVID-19 的传播。然而,这些措施在遏制和减轻疫情方面的效果尚未得到研究。本文旨在评估沙特阿拉伯为减少 COVID-19 传播而采取的预防政策措施的效率,因为 COVID-19 的传播速度非常快。有关措施有效性的信息有助于沙特政府在考虑控制疫情后放松哪些措施时调整政策应对。

方法

本研究的数据来自公开可用的数据源,如沙特卫生部和政府官方新闻机构沙特通讯社(SPA)的网站。其他数据集,如预防措施,来自国家政策追踪器网站。我们数据集的时间组成部分从 2020 年 1 月 20 日到 2021 年 8 月 31 日,共 590 多天。此外,采用了结合 COVID-19 数据和预防措施的混合方法来评估预防措施的实践。我们将本研究中使用的数据集编制到一个 Microsoft Excel 数据库中。使用方差分析和混合方法来确定实施有效策略的观察差异的显著性。值得注意的是,统计分析使用的是开源统计系统 R 版本 4.2(可在 http://cran.r-project.org 获得)。

结果

我们的分析表明,在 32 项措施中,只有 3 项(9.4%)措施显著降低了 COVID-19 的传播。我们的结果还表明,沙特阿拉伯的 COVID-19 预防措施与 COVID-19 的传播存在很大差异。在社区中激活和大规模检测与 COVID-19 病例之间存在显著的正相关关系(措施效果=923.086,p<0.05)。在整个王国实施全面宵禁与 COVID-19 病例之间也存在类似的结果(措施效果=621.389,p<0.10)。清除贫民窟地区也中断了新冠病毒的传播(措施效果=305.689,p<0.01)。其他预防措施对 COVID-19 大流行的分布没有显著影响。这些发现一致表明,在社区中激活和大规模检测、在整个王国实施全面宵禁以及清除贫民窟地区是减少 COVID-19 大流行影响的最有效措施。

结论

只有了解这些相关性,才能控制和降低 COVID-19 的传播速度,并在控制疫情后提出可能的退出策略。

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