Tverdal Aage, Selmer Randi, Thelle Dag S
Norwegian Institute of Public Health, PO Box 222, Skøyen, 0213 Oslo, Norway.
Department of Biostatistics, Institute of Basic Medical Sciences, University of Oslo, PO Box 1122, Blindern, 0317 Oslo, Norway.
Glob Epidemiol. 2022 Jun 20;4:100078. doi: 10.1016/j.gloepi.2022.100078. eCollection 2022 Dec.
The association between alcohol consumption and pancreatic cancer is unsettled.
Altogether 243,169 men and women 20-79 years, without cancer at baseline, were followed with respect to pancreatic cancer by linkage to the Cancer Registry of Norway and the Norwegian Cause of Death Registry. They participated in a cardiovascular survey where information on alcohol consumption, smoking habits, anthropometric measures, and some biological variables were recorded. During 20 years of follow-up, 991 incident pancreatic cancers were registered. We estimated the hazard ratios with the Cox proportional hazards model, and graphed spline curves between glass-units/d of alcohol and hazard ratio of incident pancreatic cancer.
The multivariable adjusted hazard per 1 glass-unit/d was 1.08 (95% confidence interval 1.02-1.15) for men and 1.04 (0.97-1.13) for women. The association between alcohol consumption and incident pancreatic cancer was present in ex- and current smokers, but the association could be ascribed to smoking habits. The multivariable adjusted spline curves increased with increasing glass-units/d and with confidence bands not encompassing 1.0 above one glass-unit/day.
Our findings of an association between higher level of alcohol consumption and incident pancreatic cancer, could be attributed to confounding by smoking habits.
饮酒与胰腺癌之间的关联尚无定论。
通过与挪威癌症登记处和挪威死亡原因登记处建立联系,对总共243,169名年龄在20 - 79岁、基线时无癌症的男性和女性进行胰腺癌随访。他们参与了一项心血管调查,其中记录了饮酒、吸烟习惯、人体测量指标以及一些生物学变量的信息。在20年的随访期间,登记了991例胰腺癌新发病例。我们用Cox比例风险模型估计风险比,并绘制了每日酒精摄入量(杯/天)与胰腺癌发病风险比之间的样条曲线。
多变量调整后,男性每1杯/天的风险比为1.08(95%置信区间1.02 - 1.15),女性为1.04(0.97 - 1.13)。饮酒与胰腺癌发病之间的关联在既往吸烟者和当前吸烟者中均存在,但这种关联可能归因于吸烟习惯。多变量调整后的样条曲线随着每日杯数的增加而上升,且在每日1杯以上时,置信区间不包含1.0。
我们关于较高酒精摄入量与胰腺癌发病之间存在关联的发现,可能归因于吸烟习惯造成的混杂因素。