Hägglöf Elsa, Bell Max, Zettersten Erik, Engerström Lars, Larsson Emma
Department of Physiology and Pharmacology, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Department of Perioperative Medicine and Intensive Care, Karolinska University Hospital, 171 76, Stockholm, Sweden.
Ann Intensive Care. 2023 Aug 29;13(1):76. doi: 10.1186/s13613-023-01156-3.
Was it worth it-what is the outcome after the extended ICU (intensive care unit) length of stay for COVID-19 patients? Surprisingly, data on long-term mortality in large cohorts are lacking. We investigate long-term mortality including differences between men and women, as previous studies show that men generally suffer a more severe course of COVID-19 in terms of severity of illness and short-term mortality.
Nationwide cohort including all adult COVID-19 patients admitted to Swedish ICUs until August 12, 2022. Primary outcome was 360-day mortality after ICU admission. Logistic regression was used to estimate associations between demographics, comorbidities, clinical characteristics and mortality.
In total, 8392 patients were included. Median (IQR) age was 63 (52-72) years and the majority (70.1%) were men. Among the 7390 patients with complete 360-day mortality data, 1775 (24.4%) patients died within 30 days, 2125 (28.8%) within 90 days and 2206 (29.8%) within 360 days from ICU admission. 360-day mortality was 27.1% in women and 31.0% in men. Multivariable logistic regression analysis showed increased risk of 360-day mortality in men compared to women (OR: 1.33, 95% CI: 1.17-1.52). Other variables associated with poor 360-day mortality were age, cardiac disease, COPD/asthma, diabetes, immune deficiency, chronic kidney disease, neuromuscular disease, and malignancy.
This study confirms the increased severity of disease in critically ill men with COVID-19, even in a long-term perspective. However, mortality beyond 90 days was strikingly low, indicating high probability of survival after the acute phase of illness.
这值得吗——新冠病毒疾病(COVID-19)患者在重症监护病房(ICU)延长住院时间后的结局如何?令人惊讶的是,大型队列中关于长期死亡率的数据匮乏。我们调查长期死亡率,包括男性和女性之间的差异,因为先前的研究表明,就疾病严重程度和短期死亡率而言,男性通常患COVID-19的病程更严重。
全国性队列研究纳入了截至2022年8月12日入住瑞典ICU的所有成年COVID-19患者。主要结局是ICU入院后360天的死亡率。采用逻辑回归分析来估计人口统计学、合并症、临床特征与死亡率之间的关联。
总共纳入了8392例患者。年龄中位数(四分位间距)为63(52 - 72)岁,大多数(70.1%)为男性。在7390例有完整360天死亡率数据的患者中,1775例(24.4%)在ICU入院后30天内死亡,2125例(28.8%)在90天内死亡,2206例(29.8%)在360天内死亡。女性的360天死亡率为27.1%,男性为31.0%。多变量逻辑回归分析显示,与女性相比,男性360天死亡率的风险增加(比值比:1.33,95%置信区间:1.17 - 1.52)。与360天死亡率不佳相关的其他变量包括年龄、心脏病、慢性阻塞性肺疾病/哮喘、糖尿病、免疫缺陷、慢性肾脏病、神经肌肉疾病和恶性肿瘤。
本研究证实,即使从长期来看,患有COVID-19的重症男性患者的疾病严重程度也更高。然而,90天以后的死亡率极低,表明疾病急性期后存活的可能性很高。