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大规模海冰-表面温度变化与大西洋经向翻转环流有关。

Large-scale sea ice-Surface temperature variability linked to Atlantic meridional overturning circulation.

机构信息

Alfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research, Bremerhaven, Germany.

Faculty of Physics, University of Bucharest, Bucharest, Romania.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2023 Aug 30;18(8):e0290437. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0290437. eCollection 2023.

Abstract

Due to its involvement in numerous feedbacks, sea ice plays a crucial role not only for polar climate but also at global scale. We analyse state-of-the-art observed, reconstructed, and modelled sea-ice concentration (SIC) together with sea surface temperature (SST) to disentangle the influence of different forcing factors on the variability of these coupled fields. Canonical Correlation Analysis provides distinct pairs of coupled Arctic SIC-Atlantic SST variability which are linked to prominent oceanic and atmospheric modes of variability over the period 1854-2017. The first pair captures the behaviour of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) while the third and can be associated with the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) in a physically consistent manner. The dominant global SIC-Atlantic SST coupled mode highlights the contrast between the responses of Arctic and Antarctic sea ice to changes in AMOC over the 1959-2021 period. Model results indicate that coupled SST-SIC patterns can be associated with changes in ocean circulation. We conclude that a correct representation of AMOC-induced coupled SST-SIC variability in climate models is essential to understand the past, present and future sea-ice evolution.

摘要

由于其参与了众多反馈过程,海冰不仅对极地气候,而且对全球气候都起着至关重要的作用。我们分析了最先进的观测、重建和模拟海冰浓度 (SIC) 以及海面温度 (SST),以区分不同强迫因素对这些耦合场变化的影响。典型相关分析提供了独特的北极 SIC-大西洋 SST 变化对耦合,这些变化与 1854-2017 年期间显著的海洋和大气变化模式有关。第一对捕捉到了大西洋经向翻转环流 (AMOC) 的行为,而第三对可以以物理一致的方式与北大西洋涛动 (NAO) 相关联。主要的全球 SIC-大西洋 SST 耦合模式突出了北极和南极海冰对 AMOC 变化的响应之间的对比,在 1959-2021 期间。模型结果表明,海洋环流变化可以与耦合的 SST-SIC 模式相关联。我们的结论是,在气候模型中正确表示 AMOC 引起的耦合 SST-SIC 变化对于理解过去、现在和未来的海冰演变至关重要。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1460/10468057/0d44c73b2a88/pone.0290437.g001.jpg

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