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采用扩展全生命周期碳核算方法优化越南的森林碳封存、木材和生物能源生产管理。

Optimal forest management for carbon sequestration, timber, and bioenergy production in Vietnam using an extended full-cycle carbon accounting method.

机构信息

National Economics University, 207 Giai Phong Str, Hanoi, Vietnam.

Seoul National University, Seoul, Republic of Korea.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2023 Sep;30(45):101192-101207. doi: 10.1007/s11356-023-29439-z. Epub 2023 Aug 30.

Abstract

Using an extended full-cycle carbon model from the Faustmann framework, which allows for management strategies of several uses concurrently implemented in the same area of forest, this paper investigates the selection of management objectives that are beneficial and optimal for forest plantations in Vietnam. Three scenarios are considered: Scenario 1 investigates the management objective of maximizing the land economic value (LEV) of timber as a single production. Scenario 2 investigates the joint production of timber and bioenergy sources. Scenario 3 analyzes the joint production of timber, bioenergy production, and carbon sequestration. The findings reveal that if growers pursue a timber management objective (Scenario 1), the farming business only provides considerable benefits under the government-subsidized credit scheme of 8.4%. For a higher non-subsidized interest rate of 15.24% of commercial banks, such gains reduce substantially and become negative value under the mean interest rate of 19.08% of private credit sources. Altering the management objective to a joint production of timber and raw bioenergy production (Scenario 2) will boost the LEV by a moderate level, but at the expense of timber production and thus carbon stock. However, the reduction tendency of timber and carbon balance is not substantial due mainly to the relatively small proportion of bioenergy production compared to timber production; therefore, decision-making frameworks targeting carbon uptake may be capable of incorporating such levels of confliction. Further internalizing the carbon value of the forest into management objectives generally leads to a longer rotation length, thus improving both carbon sequestration and income gains. Shifting the current timber-dominant management objective to a joint production of timber and bioenergy sources, or, alternatively, a joint production of timber, bioenergy production, and carbon sequestration when the carbon market is emerging, is a good alternative strategy for forest management in Vietnam.

摘要

利用 Faustmann 框架中的扩展全周期碳模型,该模型允许在同一林区同时实施多种管理策略,本文研究了有利于和优化越南人工林管理目标的选择。考虑了三种情况:情况 1 调查了将木材土地经济价值(LEV)最大化作为单一生产的管理目标。情况 2 调查了木材和生物能源联合生产的情况。情况 3 分析了木材、生物能源生产和碳封存的联合生产情况。研究结果表明,如果种植者追求木材管理目标(情况 1),在政府补贴的 8.4%信贷计划下,农业企业仅提供可观的收益。对于更高的非补贴银行 15.24%的利率,在私人信贷来源 19.08%的平均利率下,这些收益会大幅减少并变为负值。将管理目标改为木材和原始生物能源联合生产(情况 2)将适度提高 LEV,但以牺牲木材生产和因此碳储量为代价。然而,由于生物能源生产相对于木材生产的比例较小,因此木材和碳平衡的减少趋势并不明显;因此,针对碳吸收的决策框架可能能够纳入这种水平的冲突。将森林的碳价值进一步纳入管理目标通常会导致更长的轮伐期,从而提高碳封存和收入收益。将当前以木材为主的管理目标转变为木材和生物能源联合生产,或者在碳市场出现时转变为木材、生物能源生产和碳封存的联合生产,是越南森林管理的一个很好的替代策略。

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