Cleveland Clinic, Department of General Surgery, Digestive Disease and Surgery Institute, 9500 Euclid Ave A100, Cleveland, OH, 44195, USA.
Department of Surgical Oncology, Edward-Elmhurst Medical Group, Elmhurst, IL, USA.
J Gastrointest Surg. 2023 Nov;27(11):2676-2683. doi: 10.1007/s11605-023-05805-7. Epub 2023 Aug 31.
Drain amylase on day 1 (DA-D1) after pancreaticoduodendectomy (PD) to predict occurrence of postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) is controversial. In this study, we evaluate the optimal DA-D1 level to predict clinically relevant POPF (CR-POPF).
The 2014-2020 NSQIP pancreatectomy-targeted database was queried for patients who underwent elective PD. Perioperative data was extracted to determine development of POPF and CR-POPF per International Study Group of Pancreatic Fistula guidelines. Receiver operative curve (ROC) and Youden's index were used to assess the performance and optimal cutoff for DA-D1 to predict CR-POPF. The DA-D1 value was confirmed with a multivariable logistic regression to determine hazard ratios (HR) for CR-POPF and conditional logistic regression by modified fistula risk score (mFRS) subgroups.
A total of 6,087 patients with complete perioperative data were included. Mean DA-D1 was 2,897 ± 8,636 U/L; median drain duration was 5 days. CR-POPF was documented in 544 (8.9%) patients. DA-D1 ROC for CR-POPF had area under the curve of 0.779 (95%CI 0.759-0.798). Youden's index for the CR-POPF ROC coordinates had 77.6% sensitivity and 66.3% specificity, corresponding to DA-D1 values ≥ 720U/L as an optimal cutoff. CR-POPF was higher for patients with DA-D1 ≥ 720U/L (HR 4.6; p = 0.001). Patients DA-D1 < 720U/L with a negligible, low, intermediate, and high mFRS had respectively 1%, 3%, 4%, and 7% rate of CR-POPF.
DA-D1 < 720U/L after elective PD is a clinically useful predictor of CR-POPF. For patients with negligible to intermediate FRS, surgeons should consider utilizing DA-D1 < 720 U/L for removal of a drain on the first postoperative day.
胰腺十二指肠切除术后(PD)第 1 天(DA-D1)引流淀粉酶以预测术后胰瘘(POPF)的发生存在争议。本研究旨在评估 DA-D1 水平以预测临床相关 POPF(CR-POPF)的最佳水平。
查询 2014 年至 2020 年 NSQIP 胰腺切除术靶向数据库,检索接受择期 PD 的患者。提取围手术期数据,根据国际胰腺瘘研究小组指南确定 POPF 和 CR-POPF 的发生情况。采用受试者工作特征曲线(ROC)和 Youden 指数评估 DA-D1 预测 CR-POPF 的性能和最佳截断值。使用多变量逻辑回归确定 DA-D1 预测 CR-POPF 的危险比(HR),并通过改良瘘风险评分(mFRS)亚组进行条件逻辑回归。
共纳入 6087 例具有完整围手术期数据的患者。DA-D1 的平均值为 2897±8636 U/L;中位数引流时间为 5 天。544 例(8.9%)患者发生 CR-POPF。DA-D1 预测 CR-POPF 的 ROC 曲线下面积为 0.779(95%CI 0.759-0.798)。CR-POPF 的 ROC 坐标的 Youden 指数为 77.6%的灵敏度和 66.3%的特异性,对应的 DA-D1 值≥720 U/L 为最佳截断值。DA-D1≥720 U/L 的患者发生 CR-POPF 的比例更高(HR 4.6;p=0.001)。DA-D1<720 U/L 且 mFRS 为轻微、低、中和高的患者分别有 1%、3%、4%和 7%的 CR-POPF 发生率。
PD 后 DA-D1<720 U/L 是 CR-POPF 的一种有用的临床预测指标。对于 mFRS 为轻微至中度的患者,外科医生应考虑在术后第 1 天根据 DA-D1<720 U/L 来决定是否拔除引流管。