Smallenbroek Oscar
European University Institute, Via dei Roccettini, 9, 50014, San Domenico di Fiesole, Italy.
Eur J Popul. 2023 Sep 1;39(1):29. doi: 10.1007/s10680-023-09677-0.
I examine the implications of a modern psychological theory of values for the Second Demographic Transition (SDT). The SDT derives its values theory and measurement from Maslow, who noted that resource-rich environments cause value shifts towards personal-focused growth values. However, Maslow has been replaced by the theory of basic human values (TBHV) which distinguishes person and social-focused growth values. This distinction has two important implications for the SDT. First, some individualistic and self-expressive values identified by the SDT are not growth but basic need motivated and therefore functions of resource-poor environments. Second, the TBHV values on interdependence and independence are strongly influenced by gender and reflect preferences for family and care or career. Therefore, these values can be used to address critiques of the SDT based on the stalled gender revolution. I show that distinguishing values as described in the TBHV can be useful for the SDT. I find that benevolence (interdependence) is positively and openness to change (autonomy/stimulation) is negatively related to marriage in the Netherlands using longitudinal panel data and discrete event history models.
我研究了一种现代价值观心理学理论对第二次人口转变(SDT)的影响。第二次人口转变的价值观理论和衡量方法源自马斯洛,他指出资源丰富的环境会导致价值观向以个人为中心的成长价值观转变。然而,马斯洛的理论已被基本人类价值观理论(TBHV)所取代,该理论区分了个人和以社会为中心的成长价值观。这种区分对第二次人口转变有两个重要影响。第一,第二次人口转变所确定的一些个人主义和自我表达价值观并非成长型价值观,而是由基本需求驱动的,因此是资源匮乏环境的产物。第二,基本人类价值观理论中关于相互依存和独立的价值观受到性别的强烈影响,反映了对家庭与关爱或职业的偏好。因此,这些价值观可用于回应基于性别革命停滞不前而对第二次人口转变提出的批评。我表明,区分基本人类价值观理论中所描述的价值观对第二次人口转变是有用的。我利用纵向面板数据和离散事件历史模型发现,在荷兰,仁爱(相互依存)与婚姻呈正相关,而对变化的开放性(自主性/刺激性)与婚姻呈负相关。