Lund A K, O'Neill B
Accid Anal Prev. 1986 Oct;18(5):367-70. doi: 10.1016/0001-4575(86)90010-2.
Claims have been made that safer cars result in drivers who take more risks. However, there are two basic design changes that make cars safer: the first reduces the likelihood of a crash; the second reduces the chance of injury during a crash. Because design changes that reduce the likelihood of a crash also often provide direct and immediate feedback, drivers may change their behavior, although there is no evidence that the change offsets the benefits of the increased crash avoidance capability. Design changes that increase occupant protection usually provide no direct and immediate feedback and, therefore, should have no effect on driving behavior. The data are consistent with this hypothesis and contradict the hypothesis of risk compensation.
有人声称,更安全的汽车会导致司机采取更多冒险行为。然而,有两项基本的设计改进使汽车更安全:第一项降低了碰撞的可能性;第二项降低了碰撞时受伤的几率。由于降低碰撞可能性的设计改进通常也会提供直接和即时的反馈,司机可能会改变他们的行为,尽管没有证据表明这种改变会抵消增加的防撞能力带来的好处。增加乘客保护的设计改进通常不会提供直接和即时的反馈,因此,应该不会对驾驶行为产生影响。数据与这一假设一致,与风险补偿假设相矛盾。