Banicevic Amela C, Ceric A, Popovic M, Micic R Z
Clinic for Gynecology and Obstetrics, Faculty of Medicine. University of Banja Luka, Banja Luka, Bosnia and Herzegovina.
Clinic for Hematology, Faculty of Medicine. University of Banja Luka, Banja Luka, Bosnia and Herzegovina.
Mater Sociomed. 2023;35(2):118-122. doi: 10.5455/msm.2023.35.118-122.
One of the problems in modern obstetrics is how to identify and select pregnant women who are most likely to give premature birth. In the last ten years, due to false-positive test results, i.e., tests with low positive predictive values, there is an increase in unnecessary hospitalization days as well as unnecessary therapy. The probability of preterm birth is 25% in a population of pregnant women with symptoms of preterm birth.
The aim was to analyze diagnostic accuracy of tests for the purpose of predicting premature births in< 37 and <34 week of pregnancy.Incidence of preterm births in < 37 week of pregnancy was 28%, while the incidence of preterm births up until 34 week of pregnancy, was < 8%.
We included two groups of pregnant women in a prospective study; one group with the symptoms of threatening preterm birth between 22 and 37 week of pregnancyand the other one of the same gestation period with no symptoms.
Each pregnant woman underwent test for placental alphamicroglobulin-1, cervical length screening, cervical sampling for microbiological analysis, blood sampling for IL6 and CRP analysis. There were 16% of preterm births, up until 7 days from hospitalization, and they were all PAMG-1 positive; There is 75% of preterm births if PAMG-1 is positive with cervical length under 25mm. Combining tests, we reached the best predictive accuracy with positive PAMG-1 test, cervical length under 15mm along with the increase of CRP values above 15.96%.
Total number of hospitalization days was 29% with preterm births up to 71% with full term births regardless the symptomatology, which justifies further studies towards releasing the pressure from the health care system and from doctors as well in the process of reaching a decision on treatment of pregnant women with the signs of preterm birth.
现代产科面临的问题之一是如何识别和挑选最有可能早产的孕妇。在过去十年中,由于检测结果出现假阳性,即阳性预测值较低的检测,导致不必要的住院天数以及不必要的治疗有所增加。有早产症状的孕妇群体中早产概率为25%。
目的是分析用于预测妊娠<37周和<34周早产的检测的诊断准确性。妊娠<37周的早产发生率为28%,而妊娠至34周的早产发生率<8%。
我们在一项前瞻性研究中纳入了两组孕妇;一组是妊娠22至37周有早产迹象的孕妇,另一组是相同妊娠期无症状的孕妇。
每位孕妇都接受了胎盘α微球蛋白-1检测、宫颈长度筛查、宫颈微生物分析采样、白细胞介素6和C反应蛋白分析的血液采样。住院后7天内早产率为16%,且这些早产孕妇的胎盘α微球蛋白-1检测均为阳性;如果胎盘α微球蛋白-1检测呈阳性且宫颈长度小于25mm,早产率为75%。综合各项检测,当胎盘α微球蛋白-1检测呈阳性、宫颈长度小于15mm且C反应蛋白值升高超过15.96%时,我们达到了最佳预测准确性。
无论症状如何,早产孕妇的总住院天数为29%,足月产孕妇的住院天数高达71%,这证明有必要进一步开展研究以减轻医疗保健系统和医生在对有早产迹象的孕妇进行治疗决策过程中的压力。