Brody J A, Brock D B
Eur J Epidemiol. 1986 Mar;2(1):15-25. doi: 10.1007/BF00152712.
In 1900 approximately 25 percent of all deaths occurred in people age 65 years of age and over while by 1980 30 percent of deaths occurred in those over age 80. The greatest declines in age-specific mortality for those 65 and over occurred from 1920 to 1945 and since 1970. Some evidence exists that illness and disability may be rising in all age groups. Understanding the reasons for the declines in mortality for the elderly in this century and basic research in chronic disease causation and prevention are urged.
1900年,所有死亡人数中约25%发生在65岁及以上的人群中,而到1980年,30%的死亡发生在80岁以上的人群中。65岁及以上人群按年龄划分的死亡率下降幅度最大的时期是1920年至1945年以及1970年以后。有证据表明,所有年龄组的疾病和残疾情况可能都在增加。人们迫切需要了解本世纪老年人死亡率下降的原因以及慢性病病因和预防方面的基础研究。