Fragaszy Ellen, Shrotri Madhumita, Geismar Cyril, Aryee Anna, Beale Sarah, Braithwaite Isobel, Byrne Thomas, Eyre Max T, Fong Wing Lam Erica, Gibbs Jo, Hardelid Pia, Kovar Jana, Lampos Vasileios, Nastouli Eleni, Navaratnam Annalan M D, Nguyen Vincent, Patel Parth, Aldridge Robert W, Hayward Andrew
Centre for Public Health Data Science, Institute of Health Informatics, University College London, London, UK.
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Wellcome Open Res. 2022 Mar 10;7:84. doi: 10.12688/wellcomeopenres.17479.1. eCollection 2022.
Understanding symptomatology and accuracy of clinical case definitions for community COVID-19 cases is important for Test, Trace and Isolate (TTI) and future targeting of early antiviral treatment. Community cohort participants prospectively recorded daily symptoms and swab results (mainly undertaken through the UK TTI system). We compared symptom frequency, severity, timing, and duration in test positive and negative illnesses. We compared the test performance of the current UK TTI case definition (cough, high temperature, or loss of or altered sense of smell or taste) with a wider definition adding muscle aches, chills, headache, or loss of appetite. Among 9706 swabbed illnesses, including 973 SARS-CoV-2 positives, symptoms were more common, severe and longer lasting in swab positive than negative illnesses. Cough, headache, fatigue, and muscle aches were the most common symptoms in positive illnesses but also common in negative illnesses. Conversely, high temperature, loss or altered sense of smell or taste and loss of appetite were less frequent in positive illnesses, but comparatively even less frequent in negative illnesses. The current UK definition had 81% sensitivity and 47% specificity versus 93% and 27% respectively for the broader definition. 1.7-fold more illnesses met the broader case definition than the current definition. Symptoms alone cannot reliably distinguish COVID-19 from other respiratory illnesses. Adding additional symptoms to case definitions could identify more infections, but with a large increase in the number needing testing and the number of unwell individuals and contacts self-isolating whilst awaiting results.
了解社区新冠病例的症状学和临床病例定义的准确性对于检测、追踪和隔离(TTI)以及早期抗病毒治疗的未来目标至关重要。社区队列参与者前瞻性地记录每日症状和拭子检测结果(主要通过英国TTI系统进行)。我们比较了检测呈阳性和阴性疾病的症状频率、严重程度、出现时间和持续时间。我们将英国当前TTI病例定义(咳嗽、高烧、嗅觉或味觉丧失或改变)的检测性能与一个更宽泛的定义进行了比较,后者增加了肌肉疼痛、寒战、头痛或食欲不振等症状。在9706例拭子检测的疾病中,包括973例新冠病毒阳性病例,拭子检测呈阳性的疾病比阴性疾病的症状更常见、更严重且持续时间更长。咳嗽、头痛、疲劳和肌肉疼痛是阳性疾病中最常见的症状,但在阴性疾病中也很常见。相反,高烧、嗅觉或味觉丧失或改变以及食欲不振在阳性疾病中出现频率较低,但在阴性疾病中相对更低。英国当前的定义灵敏度为81%,特异度为47%,而更宽泛的定义灵敏度和特异度分别为93%和27%。符合更宽泛病例定义的疾病数量是当前定义的1.7倍。仅凭症状无法可靠地将新冠病毒感染与其他呼吸道疾病区分开来。在病例定义中增加额外症状可以识别出更多感染病例,但需要检测的人数以及在等待结果期间自我隔离的不适个体和接触者数量会大幅增加。