Fügenschuh Marzena, Fu Feng
Berliner Hochschule für Technik, Luxemburgerstr. 10, 13353 Berlin, Germany.
Department of Mathematics, Dartmouth College, 03755 Hanover, NH USA.
Appl Netw Sci. 2023;8(1):67. doi: 10.1007/s41109-023-00595-y. Epub 2023 Sep 21.
Incorporating social factors into disease prevention and control efforts is an important undertaking of behavioral epidemiology. The interplay between disease transmission and human health behaviors, such as vaccine uptake, results in complex dynamics of biological and social contagions. Maximizing intervention adoptions via network-based targeting algorithms by harnessing the power of social contagion for behavior and attitude changes largely remains a challenge. Here we address this issue by considering a multiplex network setting. Individuals are situated on two layers of networks: the disease transmission network layer and the peer influence network layer. The disease spreads through direct close contacts while vaccine views and uptake behaviors spread interpersonally within a potentially virtual network. The results of our comprehensive simulations show that network-based targeting with pro-vaccine supporters as initial seeds significantly influences vaccine adoption rates and reduces the extent of an epidemic outbreak. Network targeting interventions are much more effective by selecting individuals with a central position in the opinion network as compared to those grouped in a community or connected professionally. Our findings provide insight into network-based interventions to increase vaccine confidence and demand during an ongoing epidemic.
将社会因素纳入疾病预防与控制工作是行为流行病学的一项重要任务。疾病传播与人类健康行为(如疫苗接种)之间的相互作用,导致了生物和社会传播的复杂动态。通过利用社会传播的力量来改变行为和态度,借助基于网络的靶向算法来最大化干预措施的采用率,在很大程度上仍然是一项挑战。在此,我们通过考虑一个多重网络设置来解决这个问题。个体位于两层网络上:疾病传播网络层和同伴影响网络层。疾病通过直接密切接触传播,而疫苗观念和接种行为则在一个潜在的虚拟网络中人际传播。我们全面模拟的结果表明,以支持疫苗接种者为初始种子进行基于网络的靶向干预,会显著影响疫苗接种率,并降低疫情爆发的程度。与那些按社区分组或职业关联的个体相比,通过选择在观念网络中处于中心位置的个体进行基于网络的靶向干预要有效得多。我们的研究结果为在疫情期间基于网络的干预措施提供了见解,以提高疫苗信心和需求。