[呼吸道合胞病毒的循环动力学及其与环境温度的关系。布宜诺斯艾利斯的25年系列研究]

[Circulation dynamics of respiratory syncytial virus and its relationship with ambient temperature. 25-year series in Buenos Aires].

作者信息

Torres Fernando, Abrutzky Rosana, Domínguez Paula, Potasznik Javier, Sanluis Fenelli Gabriela, Rial María José, Ossorio María Fabiana, Ferrero Fernando

机构信息

Hospital General de Niños Pedro de Elizalde.

Instituto Gino Germani, Facultad de Ciencias Sociales.

出版信息

Rev Fac Cien Med Univ Nac Cordoba. 2023 Sep 29;80(3):239-251. doi: 10.31053/1853.0605.v80.n3.40438.

DOI:10.31053/1853.0605.v80.n3.40438

PMID:37773340

原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10594978/

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate changes in RSV seasonality in the last 25 years and their correlation with the mean annual temperature.

METHODS

Cross-sectional study, based on RSV and temperature data from the City of Buenos Aires (1995-2019). For each year, we describe the beginning, end, and duration of the RSV season and the correlation with the mean annual temperature.

RESULTS

We identified 10,183 RSV infections. The duration of the RSV season decreased significantly (1995: 29 weeks vs. 2019: 18 weeks; R: 0.6 (p< 0.001)), due to an earlier ending (1995: week 45 vs. 2019: week 34; 0.6 (p<0.001)). No correlation was observed between mean annual temperature and the duration, start, or end of the RSV season.

CONCLUSION

In the last 25 years, the duration of the RSV season has been significantly shortened due to an earlier ending, without correlation with temperature.

摘要

目的

评估过去25年呼吸道合胞病毒（RSV）季节性的变化及其与年平均温度的相关性。

方法

基于布宜诺斯艾利斯市（1995 - 2019年）的RSV和温度数据进行横断面研究。对于每一年，我们描述了RSV季节的开始、结束和持续时间以及与年平均温度的相关性。

结果

我们识别出10183例RSV感染病例。RSV季节的持续时间显著缩短（1995年：29周 vs. 2019年：18周；R：0.6（p < 0.001）），这是由于结束时间提前（1995年：第45周 vs. 2019年：第34周；0.6（p < 0.001））。未观察到年平均温度与RSV季节的持续时间、开始时间或结束时间之间存在相关性。