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三峡库区绿色发展水平的新型评价体系及其时空格局。

A novel evaluation system of green development level in the Three Gorges Reservoir Area and its spatial-temporal pattern.

机构信息

Research Center for Economy of Upper Reaches of the Yangtze River, Chongqing Technology and Business University, Chongqing, 400067, China.

School of Accounting, Chongqing Finance and Economics College, Chongqing, 401320, China.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2023 Nov;30(51):110744-110763. doi: 10.1007/s11356-023-29591-6. Epub 2023 Oct 5.

Abstract

Evaluating the green development level (GDL) of a region will accelerate its economic transformation and promote ecological civilization. From the perspective of complex system, this study explores the green development level (GDL) of the Three Gorges Reservoir Area (TGRA) by constructing a novel and ecology-oriented evaluation system. The system is three-dimensional including indicators of environmental protection and utilization, green economy development, social harmony and prosperity. Resource elements are highly valued; inclusive society is fully considered. Overall entropy method and expert scoring method are integrated to assess the GDL of 26 regions in the TGRA from 2000 to 2020; the temporal and spatial characteristics of the GDL are examined through exploratory spatial data analysis (ESDA). The results show that (1) the GDL of the TGRA is at a medium level with the score fluctuating from 0.3 to 0.4 and the ecological protection with weight of 0.37 contributes greatly to the GDL. (2) Despite the high degree of coupling coordination, the complex ecosystem in the TGRA remains at a low level of coordinated development. (3) The GDL in the middle part of the TGRA is the highest, followed by the upper part and the lower part, and the gap is narrowing. (4) The global spatial correlation of the GDL is not obvious. The spatial spillover effect is not significant and clusters only appear in the upper part and the lower part. Finally, some reasonable suggestions are put forward for improving the GDL.

摘要

评价区域绿色发展水平(GDL)将加速其经济转型,促进生态文明建设。本研究从复杂系统的角度出发,构建了一个新颖的、面向生态的评价体系,探讨了三峡库区(TGRA)的绿色发展水平(GDL)。该体系分为三维,包括环境保护与利用、绿色经济发展、社会和谐繁荣等指标。高度重视资源要素,充分考虑包容型社会。综合运用整体熵值法和专家评分法,对 2000 年至 2020 年三峡库区 26 个区县的 GDL 进行了评估,并通过探索性空间数据分析(ESDA)考察了 GDL 的时空特征。结果表明:(1)三峡库区 GDL 处于中等水平,得分在 0.3 到 0.4 之间波动,生态保护权重为 0.37,对 GDL 贡献较大。(2)尽管耦合协调度较高,但三峡库区复杂生态系统仍处于低水平协调发展状态。(3)三峡库区中部 GDL 水平最高,其次是上游和下游,差距逐渐缩小。(4)GDL 的全局空间相关性不明显,空间溢出效应不显著,聚类仅出现在上游和下游。最后,为提高 GDL 水平提出了一些合理建议。

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