Department of Management Science and Engineering, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA.
Health Care Manag Sci. 2023 Dec;26(4):599-603. doi: 10.1007/s10729-023-09657-0. Epub 2023 Oct 7.
The US is experiencing a severe opioid epidemic with more than 80,000 opioid overdose deaths occurring in 2022. Beyond the tragic loss of life, opioid use disorder (OUD) has emerged as a major contributor to morbidity, lost productivity, mounting criminal justice system costs, and significant social disruption. This Current Opinion article highlights opportunities for analytics in supporting policy making for effective response to this crisis. We describe modeling opportunities in the following areas: understanding the opioid epidemic (e.g., the prevalence and incidence of OUD in different geographic regions, demographics of individuals with OUD, rates of overdose and overdose death, patterns of drug use and associated disease outbreaks, and access to and use of treatment for OUD); assessing policies for preventing and treating OUD, including mitigation of social conditions that increase the risk of OUD; and evaluating potential regulatory and criminal justice system reforms.
美国正经历一场严重的阿片类药物流行疫情,2022 年有超过 8 万人死于阿片类药物过量。除了悲惨的生命损失外,阿片类药物使用障碍(OUD)已成为发病率、生产力损失、不断增加的刑事司法系统成本以及重大社会混乱的主要原因。本文重点介绍了分析在支持制定政策以有效应对这一危机方面的机会。我们描述了以下领域的建模机会:了解阿片类药物流行疫情(例如,不同地理区域 OUD 的流行率和发病率、OUD 患者的人口统计学特征、过量用药和过量死亡的发生率、药物使用模式以及相关疾病爆发情况,以及 OUD 的治疗获取和使用);评估预防和治疗 OUD 的政策,包括减轻增加 OUD 风险的社会条件;以及评估潜在的监管和刑事司法系统改革。