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1961年至2019年东南亚的耕地需求与压力:关于食物消费的综合研究

Cultivated Land Demand and Pressure in Southeast Asia from 1961 to 2019: A Comprehensive Study on Food Consumption.

作者信息

Qin Yuting, Tang Jiayue, Li Tanglu, Qi Xin, Zhang Dan, Wang Sijia, Lun Fei

机构信息

College of Land Science and Technology, China Agricultural University, Beijing 100193, China.

Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China.

出版信息

Foods. 2023 Sep 22;12(19):3531. doi: 10.3390/foods12193531.

Abstract

Southeast Asia plays a crucial role in global food production and trade, yet it grapples with challenges related to food security, regional stability, and security. Cultivated land is the material foundation for ensuring food production. With the development of society and the economy, people's food consumption has undergone significant changes. This paper employs a comprehensive approach to analyze trends in food consumption, the cultivated land footprint, and associated land pressures in Southeast Asia over the period 1961-2019. The main findings are as follows: (1) Between 1961 and 2019, the total food consumption in Southeast Asia surged by 3.1 times. Notably, the proportion of livestock-based foods increased steadily from 6.62% in 1961 to 16.82% in 2019. (2) Due to advancements in agricultural productivity across Southeast Asia, the cultivated land footprint for food consumption only increased by 0.7 times, showcasing a diminishing demand for grain-cultivated land. (3) On the whole, the pressure of food consumption on cultivated land in Southeast Asia is on the decline, albeit with considerable variations among different countries. The Philippines is facing a relative undersupply, whereas Thailand has experienced the lowest cultivated land pressure. (4) Encouraging a shift towards a Mediterranean-style diet, aligned with existing dietary patterns, holds promise for reducing future pressures on cultivated land and promoting better health outcomes for the populace in Southeast Asia.

摘要

东南亚在全球粮食生产和贸易中发挥着关键作用,但同时也面临着与粮食安全、地区稳定和安全相关的挑战。耕地是确保粮食生产的物质基础。随着社会和经济的发展,人们的食物消费发生了显著变化。本文采用综合方法分析了1961年至2019年期间东南亚的食物消费趋势、耕地足迹及相关土地压力。主要研究结果如下:(1)1961年至2019年期间,东南亚的食物消费总量激增了3.1倍。值得注意的是,以牲畜为基础的食物所占比例从1961年的6.62%稳步增至2019年的16.82%。(2)由于东南亚地区农业生产力的提高,食物消费的耕地足迹仅增加了0.7倍,这表明对谷物种植用地的需求在减少。(3)总体而言,东南亚食物消费对耕地的压力呈下降趋势,尽管不同国家之间存在相当大的差异。菲律宾面临相对供应不足的情况,而泰国的耕地压力最小。(4)鼓励转向与现有饮食模式相符的地中海式饮食,有望减轻未来对耕地的压力,并为东南亚民众带来更好的健康结果。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6958/10572194/ae8dbcb284be/foods-12-03531-g001.jpg

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