FuturaGene Israel Ltd., Rehovot 76100, Israel
FuturaGene Israel Ltd., Rehovot 76100, Israel.
Cold Spring Harb Perspect Biol. 2024 Jan 2;16(1):a041670. doi: 10.1101/cshperspect.a041670.
The protection of natural forests as the major land-based biotic sink of carbon is regarded as a priority for climate action, and zero deforestation is an accepted global imperative. Sustainable intensification of plantation forestry will be essential to meet escalating, shifting, and diversifying demand for forest products if logging pressure on natural forests is to be decreased. Substitution strategies involves enhanced offtake from plantation forestry into long life-cycle products, opening up new options for medium- to long-term carbon drawdown, downstream decarbonization, and fossil fuel displacement in the construction and chemicals sectors. However, under current plantation productivity levels, it has been projected that by 2050, supply could provide as little as 35% of demand. This could be further exacerbated by climate change. To mitigate this shortfall, to avoid ensuing catastrophic logging pressure on natural forests, and to ensure that downstream decarbonization and fossil fuel substitution strategies are feasible, a dramatic step change in plantation productivity is required. This is particularly necessary in developing countries where increases in per capita demand and pressure on natural forests will be the most acute.
保护天然林作为碳的主要陆地生物汇，被视为气候行动的优先事项，零毁林是全球公认的必要条件。如果要减少对天然林的采伐压力，种植园林业的可持续集约化将是满足不断增长、不断变化和多样化的森林产品需求的关键。替代战略涉及从种植园林业中增加对长生命周期产品的采伐，为建筑和化工等部门的中长期碳减排、下游脱碳和化石燃料替代提供新的选择。然而，根据目前的种植园生产力水平，预计到 2050 年，供应可能仅满足需求的 35%。如果气候变化进一步加剧，情况可能会更加严重。为了缓解这一短缺，避免随之而来的对天然林的灾难性采伐压力，并确保下游脱碳和化石燃料替代战略的可行性，需要大幅提高种植园的生产力。这在发展中国家尤为必要，因为这些国家的人均需求增长和对天然林的压力将最为严重。
