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新冠疫情冲击与连锁商店所有权:来自中国快递行业的证据

The COVID-19 shock and the ownership of store Chain:Evidence from China's express delivery industry.

作者信息

Shang Lin, Liu Yifan, Xu Pingxiang

机构信息

Department of Economics, Tianjin University of Commerce, China.

出版信息

Heliyon. 2023 Oct 7;9(10):e20799. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e20799. eCollection 2023 Oct.

DOI:10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e20799
PMID:37860577
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10582483/
Abstract

Utilizing stock market data of express delivery companies that have been listed on the stock market of China, this paper intends to examine the two alternative store chain ownership, namely corporate-owned versus franchised, which is more resilient to external shocks. Based on the price data of 1034 trading days from December 2, 2019, to September 30, 2022, the Quandt-Andrews method is used to compare the companies of corporate-owned store chain with those of franchised store chain. The results reveal that the stock market performance of the express delivery industry underwent a huge structural change during the COVID-19 epidemic. Moreover, because of the stringent pandemic control measures, there are significant differences in structural changes between the two types of express delivery companies, corporate-owned store chain as opposed to franchised store chain. The structural changes occurred earlier for the former, which suggests that the companies of corporate-owned store chain are more resilient to recovery. This study can provide helpful insight into better risk control for companies managing retail stores and choosing "rainy day assets" portfolios for investors in times of financial uncertainty.

摘要

利用中国股票市场上已上市的快递公司的股票市场数据,本文旨在研究两种不同的连锁门店所有权形式,即公司直营与特许经营,哪种形式对外部冲击更具弹性。基于2019年12月2日至2022年9月30日1034个交易日的价格数据,采用Quandt-Andrews方法对公司直营连锁门店公司与特许经营连锁门店公司进行比较。结果显示,在新冠疫情期间,快递行业的股票市场表现经历了巨大的结构变化。此外,由于严格的疫情防控措施,两种类型的快递公司,即公司直营连锁门店与特许经营连锁门店,在结构变化上存在显著差异。前者的结构变化更早出现,这表明公司直营连锁门店公司在复苏方面更具弹性。本研究可为管理零售门店的公司更好地进行风险控制以及在金融不确定性时期为投资者选择“雨天资产”投资组合提供有益的见解。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/68bd/10582483/09d08267ce3e/gr1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/68bd/10582483/09d08267ce3e/gr1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/68bd/10582483/09d08267ce3e/gr1.jpg

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本文引用的文献

1
Dynamic impacts of COVID-19 pandemic on the regional express logistics: Evidence from China.新冠疫情对区域快递物流的动态影响:来自中国的证据
Transp Policy (Oxf). 2021 Sep;111:111-124. doi: 10.1016/j.tranpol.2021.07.012. Epub 2021 Jul 20.
2
Analyzing the service quality priorities in cargo transportation before and during the Covid-19 outbreak.分析新冠疫情爆发之前及期间货物运输中的服务质量优先事项。
Transp Policy (Oxf). 2021 Jul;108:34-46. doi: 10.1016/j.tranpol.2021.04.025. Epub 2021 May 5.
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COVID-19 and oil price risk exposure.
新冠疫情与油价风险敞口。
Financ Res Lett. 2021 Oct;42:101882. doi: 10.1016/j.frl.2020.101882. Epub 2020 Dec 5.
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A SWOT analysis of China's air cargo sector in the context of COVID-19 pandemic.新冠疫情背景下中国航空货运业的SWOT分析
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Lancet. 2020 Feb 15;395(10223):497-506. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30183-5. Epub 2020 Jan 24.