Helo Sarmiento Juliana, Melo Oscar, Ortiz-Alvarado Laura, Pantoja Vallejos Chrissie, Reyes-Mandujano Ivonne Fanny
Facultad de Economía, Universidad de los Andes, Bogotá, Colombia.
Centro Interdisciplinario de Cambio Global, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile.
Lancet Reg Health Am. 2023 Sep 27;26:100606. doi: 10.1016/j.lana.2023.100606. eCollection 2023 Oct.
This scoping review assesses the current evidence on the health impacts of climate change and associated economic costs in South America. In total, 3281 studies were identified using a systematic search strategy, but only 23 articles met the inclusion criteria and were analysed. The results from these articles indicate that the health effects of climate change will likely be costly for South America; however, evidence is limited to a handful of countries or regional analyses that ignore heterogeneity across and within countries. Most of the analysed studies looking at extreme weather events related to climate change focus on the effects and costs of droughts and fire events. A broader understanding of the topic could be achieved by estimating other extreme weather events' health effects and costs, using appropriate research methods to identify causal impacts, and including a more comprehensive and representative regional population sample. Beyond identifying effects, it is important to investigate demand responses for healthcare services, associated costs, availability and expansion of infrastructure, and cost-effectiveness of policies aimed at coping with and adapting to the health dimension of climate change.
本综述评估了南美洲气候变化对健康的影响及相关经济成本的现有证据。通过系统检索策略共识别出3281项研究,但只有23篇文章符合纳入标准并进行了分析。这些文章的结果表明,气候变化对健康的影响可能会给南美洲带来高昂成本;然而,证据仅限于少数国家或忽略了国家间和国家内部异质性的区域分析。大多数分析气候变化相关极端天气事件的研究都集中在干旱和火灾事件的影响及成本上。通过估计其他极端天气事件对健康的影响和成本、使用适当的研究方法来确定因果影响,以及纳入更全面和有代表性的区域人口样本,可以更全面地理解这一主题。除了确定影响之外,调查对医疗服务的需求反应、相关成本、基础设施的可用性和扩展,以及旨在应对和适应气候变化健康层面的政策的成本效益也很重要。
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